Stock Markets July 7, 2026 03:41 AM

European chip stocks slide after Samsung shares fall despite blockbuster profit estimate

Market gains tied to AI demand face profit-taking as Samsung's strong forecast fails to prevent sector pullback

By Derek Hwang
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ASML

European semiconductor equities retreated following a sharp drop in Samsung Electronics shares, even after the Korean giant reported an exceptionally large second-quarter operating profit estimate. Heavy losses in Seoul spilled over into European trading, pressuring major chipmakers from ASML to STMicroelectronics as investors weighed whether the AI-driven chip cycle can maintain its momentum.

European chip stocks slide after Samsung shares fall despite blockbuster profit estimate
ASML
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Key Points

  • Samsung forecast second-quarter operating profit of 89.4 trillion won, nearly 19 times the year-ago level, and revenue of 171 trillion won - both figures topped consensus estimates.
  • The immediate market response was negative: Samsung shares fell about 7% and SK Hynix lost around 6%, contributing to a nearly 5% drop in the KOSPI index and knock-on declines for European chip stocks such as ASML, STMicroelectronics and Infineon.
  • Rising memory prices over the past year and questions about the sustainability of AI-driven demand are central to investor unease, even as companies report exceptional profits.

European semiconductor names weakened on Tuesday in the aftermath of a steep selloff in South Korean chip stocks, despite an outsized earnings forecast from Samsung Electronics. The slide in Asian markets prompted investors to reassess near-term momentum in AI-related chip demand.

In Amsterdam ASML fell 4.2% by 07:42 GMT. STMicroelectronics and Infineon each declined by more than 4%. Other European suppliers moved lower as well: ASM International and BE Semiconductor lost over 3% apiece, while Soitec plunged as much as 10.4%, mirroring the larger falls recorded in Seoul.

The rout in South Korea was notable. Samsung shares fell roughly 7% after the company published its results and guidance, and SK Hynix dropped about 6%, driving the benchmark KOSPI index down nearly 5%.


What Samsung reported

Samsung said it expects second-quarter operating profit of 89.4 trillion won, a near 19-fold increase from the same period a year earlier and larger than its combined profit over the prior three years. That operating-profit projection exceeded an LSEG SmartEstimate of 87.3 trillion won. Samsung also forecast revenue rising 129% to 171 trillion won for the quarter.

The company’s headline figures include one-off charges related to employee bonus provisions. Earlier this year Samsung agreed to remove a 1,000% base-salary bonus cap and to allocate 10.5% of operating profit for bonuses, a change that followed weeks of labour union protests pressing for a larger share of company earnings.


Market reaction and analyst context

Despite the exceptional headline numbers, some market participants said the decline reflected expectations that were largely priced into shares ahead of the announcement, coupled with broader uncertainty over the length of the current AI-led spending cycle for chips. Albert Yong, managing partner at Petra Capital Management, noted that Samsung’s strong results had been anticipated and were reflected in the advance rally, and that investor focus remains on the sustainability of AI demand and the potential for slower infrastructure spending from major U.S. technology companies.


Supply-and-demand signals

The report also highlighted recent dynamics in memory pricing. Memory prices have risen markedly over the past year, a development that has fed questions about the durability of demand for memory products and the sustainability of the current profit levels across the sector.

Samsung is due to publish its full second-quarter results, including a divisional earnings breakdown, on July 30.


Key sectors affected

  • Semiconductors and chip equipment suppliers - directly affected by the moves in listed chip stocks and equipment makers.
  • Memory markets - influenced by recent price gains and the impact on supplier profits and inventory dynamics.
  • Equity markets with exposure to AI-related hardware demand - as investor expectations about the durability of AI spending influence valuations.

Risks

  • Sustainability risk - Uncertainty over how long AI-related hardware demand and infrastructure spending by major tech firms will continue to support current profit levels, affecting semiconductor and equipment companies.
  • Price-driven demand risk - Recent substantial increases in memory prices raise concerns about potential demand weakness if higher costs dampen end-market consumption, impacting memory suppliers and their customers.
  • Consensus-pricing risk - Strong results that were already anticipated and priced into shares can trigger profit-taking and heightened volatility in equity markets exposed to chip manufacturers and suppliers.

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