Economy July 7, 2026 09:04 AM

Canada posts C$4.2B trade surplus in May as aluminum exports surge

Record exports lift headline surplus while imports slip; metals and consumer goods drive monthly shifts

By Leila Farooq
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Statistics Canada reported that the country’s merchandise trade surplus expanded to C$4.2 billion in May from C$3.4 billion in April, driven by a record level of exports and a sharp increase in unwrought aluminum shipments. This marks the third straight month of surplus and the largest surplus in four years.

Canada posts C$4.2B trade surplus in May as aluminum exports surge
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Key Points

  • Canada’s trade surplus widened to C$4.2 billion in May from C$3.4 billion in April, marking the third consecutive monthly surplus and the largest in four years.
  • Record monthly exports of C$77.1 billion were up 0.9% in May and 22% over the prior four months; unwrought aluminum and aluminum alloys rose 50.7% to C$1.2 billion, mainly destined for the Netherlands, Italy and Greece.
  • Imports fell 0.2% after an April peak; metal and non-metallic mineral product imports dropped 18.2% (led by a 33% decline in unwrought gold, silver and platinum group metals), while consumer goods imports rose 3.5%, driven by batteries and chargers from China.

Canada’s merchandise trade position strengthened in May, with the surplus widening to C$4.2 billion from C$3.4 billion in April, Statistics Canada said on Tuesday. The May result is the largest trade surplus recorded in four years and the third consecutive month that Canada has posted a surplus.

Exports rose 0.9% to a record C$77.1 billion in May, representing a 22% increase compared with four months earlier. Within the metal and non-metallic mineral products category, shipments of unwrought aluminum and aluminum alloys surged 50.7%, reaching C$1.2 billion. Those aluminum exports were the single biggest contributor to growth in that product grouping and were shipped mainly to the Netherlands, Italy and Greece.

On the import side, values edged down 0.2% in May after hitting a record high in April. Imports of metal and non-metallic mineral products declined 18.2%, a move largely attributable to a 33% drop in imports of unwrought gold, silver and platinum group metals and their alloys. Conversely, imports of consumer goods increased 3.5% in May, with batteries and battery chargers from China cited as a leading contributor to that rise.

Trade flows with the United States showed differing directions in May. Exports to the U.S. climbed 1.5% - the fourth straight monthly increase - while imports from the U.S. fell 1.4%. As a result, Canada’s surplus with the United States widened from C$10.3 billion in April to C$11.6 billion in May, the highest bilateral surplus with the United States since January 2025.

By contrast, trade with countries other than the United States moved against Canada in May. Exports to non-U.S. partners slipped 0.3%, while imports from those countries rose 1.5%. That produced a wider trade deficit with non-U.S. countries, increasing from C$6.9 billion in April to C$7.4 billion in May.

These monthly data points highlight the composition of recent trade momentum - record overall exports led by a sharp rise in aluminum shipments, a modest decline in overall imports from their April highs, and divergent bilateral trends between the United States and other trading partners.

Risks

  • Widening deficit with countries other than the United States - Canada’s trade deficit with non-U.S. partners increased from C$6.9 billion in April to C$7.4 billion in May, creating potential exposure for sectors dependent on those markets. - Affected sectors: broad trade-exposed industries and exporters to non-U.S. markets.
  • Concentration of export gains in a narrow product category - A large portion of May’s export growth came from unwrought aluminum and its alloys (C$1.2 billion), which were shipped mainly to three European countries; reliance on a limited set of commodities or destinations could increase vulnerability to demand swings. - Affected sectors: metals and mining, commodity exporters.
  • Volatility in specific imported metals - A 33% decline in imports of unwrought gold, silver and platinum group metals and their alloys contributed to a sharp fall in the metal and non-metallic mineral products import category, underscoring potential swings in supply or valuation for precious and industrial metals. - Affected sectors: jewellery, industrial metal processors, and commodity traders.

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