Commodities July 9, 2026 11:08 AM

Turkey, Iraq Near Agreement to Keep Crude Pipeline Flowing for 12 Months

Ankara and Baghdad aim to sign a one-year deal within days to maintain oil deliveries to Turkey’s Ceyhan port

By Ajmal Hussain
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Turkish Energy Minister Alparslan Bayraktar said Turkey and Iraq have finalized a one-year pipeline agreement that they expect to sign in the coming days to ensure continued crude flows to Ceyhan. The current accord is due to expire on July 27. The pipeline, which was dormant for 2-1/2 years after an arbitration ruling, resumed operations late last year.

Turkey, Iraq Near Agreement to Keep Crude Pipeline Flowing for 12 Months
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Key Points

  • Turkey and Iraq say they will sign a 12-month agreement imminently to maintain operations of the crude pipeline linking the two countries, with the aim to formalize the deal in the coming days.
  • The existing pipeline agreement is due to expire on July 27, creating a defined deadline for the new contract to be signed.
  • The pipeline had been shut for about 2-1/2 years after an arbitration ruling required Turkey to pay $1.5 billion in damages for unauthorized Iraqi exports received between 2014 and 2018; operations resumed late last year. Sectors affected include crude oil supply flows and port operations at Ceyhan.

Agreement expected soon

Turkey and Iraq are poised to formalize a 12-month arrangement within days to keep the crude oil pipeline between the two countries in operation, Turkish Energy Minister Alparslan Bayraktar said on Thursday during an official visit to Baghdad.

Bayraktar said the current contract governing the pipeline is scheduled to lapse on July 27. "We have brought the agreement that will cover the next 12 months to the final stage. We aim to sign it in the coming days," he said in a statement while in Baghdad, adding that oil flow from Iraq to Turkey's Ceyhan port on the eastern Mediterranean coast will continue.


Background and recent history

The pipeline had been closed for roughly 2-1/2 years after an arbitration tribunal ordered Ankara to pay $1.5 billion in damages relating to unauthorized Iraqi exports that Turkey received between 2014 and 2018. Operations restarted late last year, restoring the flow of crude to Turkey's export terminal at Ceyhan.


Diplomatic and ministerial contacts

Bayraktar wrote on X that he held a productive meeting with Iraq Oil Minister Basim Mohammed to discuss cooperation in oil and gas. The Turkish minister also met with Iraqi Prime Minister Ali al-Zaidi during the Baghdad visit, according to the prime minister's office.


What is known and what remains

The ministers report that a one-year pipeline agreement is at the final stage and that they intend to sign it soon, securing uninterrupted deliveries to Ceyhan if the timeline holds. The current deal's July 27 expiry date gives a clear deadline for that signing, and the settlement of earlier arbitration issues preceded the pipeline's return to service late last year.

The available information does not specify additional contractual terms, financial arrangements, or operational changes beyond the duration of the proposed agreement and the ministers' statements on continued oil flow.

Risks

  • The current agreement expires on July 27 and the new one is not yet signed - if the signing is delayed, there is a risk of disruption to oil flows. This affects crude oil logistics and port throughput at Ceyhan.
  • Legacy legal and financial issues - the prior arbitration that halted the pipeline and resulted in a $1.5 billion damages order illustrates a source of operational and financial uncertainty for the pipeline's future.
  • Limited detail on contractual terms - the public statements confirm duration and intent to continue flow but do not provide specifics on terms or safeguards, leaving some uncertainty about the operational framework for the next 12 months.

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