World February 16, 2026

Trump Says He Will Be Indirectly Involved as Iran-U.S. Nuclear Talks Begin in Geneva

President signals engagement while military posture in the region is strengthened and Iran conducts civil defense drills

By Hana Yamamoto
Trump Says He Will Be Indirectly Involved as Iran-U.S. Nuclear Talks Begin in Geneva

President Trump said he will take an indirect role in upcoming Geneva negotiations between the United States and Iran on Tehran's nuclear program, asserting that Iran seeks a deal. The announcement came as U.S. forces increased their presence in the Middle East, with a second aircraft carrier deployed and military planners preparing for a possible prolonged campaign if diplomacy fails. Iran, meanwhile, held a chemical defense drill at a southern energy zone to bolster preparedness.

Key Points

  • President Trump said he will be involved indirectly in U.S.-Iran nuclear talks set to begin in Geneva and expressed belief that Iran seeks a deal - markets tied to geopolitics, defense contracting and energy sectors are affected.
  • The U.S. has deployed a second aircraft carrier to the Middle East and is preparing for the possibility of a sustained military campaign if diplomacy fails - defense and shipping sectors may be impacted.
  • Iran held a chemical defense drill at the Pars Special Economic Energy Zone to boost preparedness for potential chemical incidents - energy production and regional operations could be affected.

President Trump said on Monday that he would participate "indirectly" in talks scheduled to begin Tuesday in Geneva between U.S. and Iranian officials over Tehran's nuclear program, and told reporters aboard Air Force One that he believed Iran wanted to secure an agreement.

"I'll be involved in those talks, indirectly. And they'll be very important," the president said, reiterating his expectation that Tehran prefers to reach a deal rather than face the consequences of failing to do so.

The announcement comes amid rising tensions in the region. The United States has deployed a second aircraft carrier to the Middle East, and U.S. military planners are reportedly preparing for the contingency that negotiations will not succeed and that a sustained military campaign could become necessary.

When asked about the chances of a deal, the president contrasted Iran's current posture with actions taken last summer, noting that the United States bombed Iranian nuclear sites then and suggesting Iran had learned from those consequences. "I don't think they want the consequences of not making a deal," he said.

Observers note that prior to the U.S. joining Israel in striking Iranian nuclear sites in June, Iran-U.S. nuclear talks had been stalled over Washington's insistence that Tehran abandon enrichment activities on its own soil, which the U.S. views as a pathway to a potential weapon.

Separately, Iran's civil defense organization conducted a chemical defense exercise on Monday at the Pars Special Economic Energy Zone. The drill aimed to strengthen preparedness for potential chemical incidents in the energy hub located in southern Iran.


The combination of diplomatic engagement, a bolstered U.S. military posture in the region, and Iran's own preparedness measures underscores the high stakes of the Geneva talks. Officials are balancing a diplomatic process with contingency planning for military options should talks break down.

At this stage, the president's stated indirect involvement frames the talks as internationally significant and closely watched by military planners and regional energy stakeholders alike.

Risks

  • Negotiations may fail, raising the prospect of a sustained military campaign - this risk directly concerns the defense sector and could influence defense spending and contractor revenues.
  • Heightened military presence and tensions in the Middle East could disrupt energy production or transport - energy markets and shipping insurers might face volatility.
  • Potential chemical incidents or related contingencies in Iran's energy zone pose operational risks to regional energy infrastructure - this affects energy producers and regional supply stability.

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