Trade Ideas

Actionable trade ideas with defined risk and time horizons.

Curated trade ideas across equities, options, and other instruments, featuring clear directional bias, time horizon, and risk considerations. Trade ideas are designed to align market context, technical structure, and risk management principles.

Articles

1,064 total articles

Aon Q4: Quality Earnings and Cash Flow Make a Case for a Patient Buy

Aon Q4: Quality Earnings and Cash Flow Make a Case for a Patient Buy

Aon delivered results and balance-sheet actions that reinforce its role as a cash-generative, high-return insurance broker. With free cash flow at $3.04B, ROE north of 34%, and $2.2B net proceeds from the NFP wealth sale, the company is in a position to continue buybacks and dividend growth. Valuation is not cheap but looks reasonable against durab…

Rolls‑Royce ADR: Tactical Long With Room to $20 — Here’s the Plan

Rolls‑Royce ADR: Tactical Long With Room to $20 — Here’s the Plan

Rolls‑Royce (RYCEY) has recovered sharply from 2025 lows and now trades at $16.83 with a market cap of about $142B. With civil aerospace aftermarket demand improving and nuclear SMR partnerships gaining traction, the risk/reward favors a controlled long. This idea lays out an entry at $16.60, a stop at $15.00 and an initial target of $17.90 (and a …

Buy Applied Materials Ahead of Q1 2026 - Play the AI Capex Wave

Buy Applied Materials Ahead of Q1 2026 - Play the AI Capex Wave

Applied Materials ($327.65) is an attractive buy ahead of its Q1 2026 report. The company sits squarely in the AI-driven semiconductor capital expenditure cycle, shows healthy profitability (ROE ~34%), and generates meaningful free cash flow ($5.698B). Valuation is not cheap, but the combination of improving order signals across the supply chain an…

Paysafe: A Tactical Long as Deleveraging Hits a Fork in the Road

Paysafe: A Tactical Long as Deleveraging Hits a Fork in the Road

Paysafe trades near multi-month lows after a client-related write-down and ongoing securities probes. The business still owns recognizable digital-wallet assets (Skrill, NETELLER) and is cheap on price-to-book. This trade idea aims to capture a mid-term rebound on improving fundamentals and recent commercial partnerships while respecting headline r…

EMCOR After the Run-Up: Buy the Consolidation for a Mid‑Term Pop

EMCOR After the Run-Up: Buy the Consolidation for a Mid‑Term Pop

EMCOR (EME) has given back some of the dramatic gains that came with the AI/data‑center narrative, but the core business metrics remain strong: $1.15B in free cash flow, ROE near 34%, and limited apparent leverage. The near-term headline volatility creates an opportunity to buy a base above the 10/20/50-day moving averages with a clear risk-managem…

AppFolio: Buy the Dip Now as Multiples Overreact - Upgrade to Long

AppFolio: Buy the Dip Now as Multiples Overreact - Upgrade to Long

AppFolio's recent pullback has pushed the stock into oversold territory while fundamentals - 21% revenue growth in the last reported quarter and healthy free cash flow - remain intact. Multiples compressed faster than growth decelerated; that creates a tactical buying window for investors willing to hold for a mid-term re-rating driven by product m…

Alphabet Q4 Setup - Upgrade to Long as Quantum & AI Momentum Converge

Alphabet Q4 Setup - Upgrade to Long as Quantum & AI Momentum Converge

Alphabet ($GOOGL) looks positioned to outperform into and through its upcoming Q4 report. The stock trades near $338 with a ~$4.08 trillion market cap, robust free cash flow of $73.6B and a clean balance sheet. Recent headlines around AI, AR hardware, and cloud traction make this a sensible upgrade to a long trade into earnings, paired with a stric…