Trade Ideas

Actionable trade ideas with defined risk and time horizons.

Curated trade ideas across equities, options, and other instruments, featuring clear directional bias, time horizon, and risk considerations. Trade ideas are designed to align market context, technical structure, and risk management principles.

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1,064 total articles

Why OpenAI's Valuation Squeeze Makes Microsoft a Tactical Buy Now

Why OpenAI's Valuation Squeeze Makes Microsoft a Tactical Buy Now

Microsoft's mix of cloud scale, strong free cash flow and favorable AI positioning make it an attractive buy after a pullback tied to headlines around OpenAI's valuation. The company trades at ~25x earnings with $77B of free cash flow and a $2.98T market cap. Technicals look oversold while macro AI capex remains a tailwind. Trade plan included for …

Gray Media: Positioning for a 2026 Political Ad Lift

Gray Media: Positioning for a 2026 Political Ad Lift

Gray Media owns the largest portfolio of local TV stations in the U.S., and its expanding Spanish-language footprint plus upcoming sports and political programming create a clear revenue lever for 2026. Valuation metrics look cheap at the equity level, but leverage is high. This trade targets a re-rating into the mid-$6s as political and sports ad …

Buy the Dip, Lightly: RGNX Looks Priced for a Binary Safety Re-Run

Buy the Dip, Lightly: RGNX Looks Priced for a Binary Safety Re-Run

REGENXBIO (RGNX) is a clinical-stage AAV gene therapy company that traded lower after the FDA placed clinical holds on RGX-111 and RGX-121 following a reported neoplasm case. At $8.33 and a market cap near $422M, the stock appears to price in meaningful program risk. I am cautiously bullish: enter a staged long with tight risk control and a target …

Chipotle: Reasonable Price Today, Wait for Traffic Proof Before Upsizing

Chipotle: Reasonable Price Today, Wait for Traffic Proof Before Upsizing

Chipotle (CMG) looks neither deeply undervalued nor richly expensive. The shares trade near $35.84 with a ~30-31x P/E and strong return metrics, but 2025 traffic weakness and margin trade-offs in 2026 mean upside depends on re-accelerating visits. A measured, mid-term buy-on-weakness approach with a defined stop and target captures upside if traffi…

Buy the Dip: Neurocrine Is More Than Ingrezza - A 180-Day Trade

Buy the Dip: Neurocrine Is More Than Ingrezza - A 180-Day Trade

Neurocrine (NBIX) sold off after below-expectation Ingrezza guidance, but the underlying business remains healthy: Ingrezza grew to $2.51B, Q4 sales topped $805.5M, and the company generates meaningful free cash flow. This trade idea buys the weakness with a clear stop and a 180-trading-day target that prices in recovery plus pipeline upside.

Sana Biotechnology: A high-risk, asymmetric swing trade on a biotech with a promising fusogen readout

Sana Biotechnology: A high-risk, asymmetric swing trade on a biotech with a promising fusogen readout

Sana (SANA) is a speculative long setup that pays to be small and patient. The company’s fusogen in vivo gene-editing work (published in Nature Biotechnology) is a real scientific milestone; the stock is cheap relative to upside if that program wins, but Sana faces cash burn, prior dilution and active litigation. Trade size accordingly and use a ha…

Why a New Braves Media Push Could Be a Short Opportunity

Why a New Braves Media Push Could Be a Short Opportunity

Atlanta Braves Holdings (BATRA) sits at a premium valuation with negative free cash flow and meaningful leverage. Recent options flow and Liberty-related restructuring chatter raise the odds management tests a direct-to-consumer or new local-media approach. If that happens, the company could face higher capex, rights costs, and margin pressure — an…

WEX: Cheap on the Numbers, Expensive on Strategy - A Tactical Long

WEX: Cheap on the Numbers, Expensive on Strategy - A Tactical Long

WEX Inc. looks materially undervalued on cash flow and earnings multiples relative to its growth profile, but recent revenue softness, activist pressure and execution gaps in Mobility and Corporate Payments mean this is a trade, not a buy-and-forget. Enter a measured long at current levels with a firm stop and a target near the 52-week high - a mid…

Affirm at a Crossroads: From Story Stock to Sustained GAAP Profitability

Affirm at a Crossroads: From Story Stock to Sustained GAAP Profitability

Affirm has moved beyond promise to proof: GAAP profitability, accelerating gross merchandise volume, material free cash flow, and strategic partnerships create a clear path for margin expansion. The market's knee-jerk sell-off to $49.86 creates an actionable entry for a long position targeting a re-rating back toward growth multiple peers, with def…

Why Fairfax (FRFHF) Still Looks Cheap After a Big Run

Why Fairfax (FRFHF) Still Looks Cheap After a Big Run

Fairfax Financial (FRFHF) has enjoyed a monster rally, yet core valuation metrics - PE ~7.9 and PB ~1.42 - still argue for more upside. Market cap sits near $40.0B while the company continues to generate substantial earnings and carry a diversified insurance + investment mix. This trade proposes a long with a clear entry, stop and target and balanc…

Buy the Dip in Microsoft: Quality Cloud Growth at a Discounted Price

Buy the Dip in Microsoft: Quality Cloud Growth at a Discounted Price

Microsoft's share price has pulled back with software peers amid macro concern, but the company's durable cloud growth, strong free cash flow ($77.4B), and pristine balance sheet make the current levels attractive. This is a tactical upgrade to BUY with a position-sized plan and clear entry, stop, and target levels for the next 3-6 months.

Boeing: From Accounting Gains to Genuine Cash Recovery - A Trade Idea

Boeing: From Accounting Gains to Genuine Cash Recovery - A Trade Idea

Boeing has posted improving profitability metrics but still shows negative free cash flow, heavy leverage and stretched multiples. The stock is a tactical long: buy the operational momentum and service-tail gains while protecting against execution and balance-sheet shocks. Entry $239.35, stop $218.00, target $280.00 for a long-term (180 trading day…

Buying the Salesforce Washout: A Contrarian Trade Into the SaaS Swoon

Buying the Salesforce Washout: A Contrarian Trade Into the SaaS Swoon

Salesforce (CRM) has been chopped down with the rest of SaaS as AI fear and headline risk dominate tape. Fundamentals still show a durable franchise: market cap ~$174B, free cash flow near $12.9B, low net leverage, and P/E ~24. I lay out a long trade with a clear entry, stop and target for a long-term (180 trading days) rebound if the market re-rat…