Trade Ideas

Actionable trade ideas with defined risk and time horizons.

Curated trade ideas across equities, options, and other instruments, featuring clear directional bias, time horizon, and risk considerations. Trade ideas are designed to align market context, technical structure, and risk management principles.

Articles

1,044 total articles

Meta’s Data Moat Is Getting Harder to Penetrate — Time to Lean Long

Meta’s Data Moat Is Getting Harder to Penetrate — Time to Lean Long

Meta is investing aggressively in infrastructure and data-quality guardrails that make its advertising and AI personalization increasingly defensible. With a market cap around $1.66T, healthy free cash flow and improving AI partnerships, the risk/reward favors a long position over the next 180 trading days, provided you respect valuation and set a …

American Tower: Early Signs of a Turnaround - Tactical Long Idea

American Tower: Early Signs of a Turnaround - Tactical Long Idea

American Tower looks poised to re-rate as its CoreSite data center business captures AI-driven colocation demand and the stock shows improving technicals. The company offers a 3.6% yield and FCF of roughly $3.7B, supporting a tactical long trade sized for a long-term (180 trading days) horizon. Entry $185.025, stop $170.00, target $215.00.

ARQT: Growth Matures but ZORYVE Compounding Still Intact

ARQT: Growth Matures but ZORYVE Compounding Still Intact

Arcutis has doubled in a year on accelerating ZORYVE sales and encouraging guidance. Revenue upside is in the numbers — 2026 net product sales guidance of $455-470M implies rapid compounding, but valuation (EV/sales ~11x) already prices a lot of the story. This trade targets further multiple expansion into secular adoption while protecting capital …

Why Amazon's Math Doesn't Work: A Short Trade Plan

Why Amazon's Math Doesn't Work: A Short Trade Plan

Amazon (AMZN) looks great in headlines: top of the Fortune 500 and AWS still dominant. But under the hood the stock is priced for near-perfection, free cash flow recently turned negative, and technical momentum is failing. This actionable short trade targets a retreat toward the $170 area over the next 45 trading days with a $220 stop.

Corcept Therapeutics: Short-Term Shock, Long-Term Optionality—Buy the Dip for Relacorilant's Oncology Upside

Corcept Therapeutics: Short-Term Shock, Long-Term Optionality—Buy the Dip for Relacorilant's Oncology Upside

Corcept (CORT) plunged after a 12/31/2025 FDA Complete Response Letter for relacorilant tied to hypercortisolism. That sell-off priced in a lot of regulatory and litigation downside; meanwhile relacorilant's oncology potential, especially in platinum-resistant ovarian cancer, remains underappreciated. This trade idea lays out a tactical long with c…

TPL: Momentum in the Dirt - A Defined-Risk Long on Texas Pacific Land

TPL: Momentum in the Dirt - A Defined-Risk Long on Texas Pacific Land

Texas Pacific Land (TPL) is trading with clear momentum after an energy-led rally. The business earns recurring royalties, land-use fees and growing water services revenue in the Permian Basin. Valuation is rich, but a short-term momentum trade with strict risk controls is attractive: entry $487.00, stop $435.00, target $600.00 over a mid-term (45 …

Blue Owl: Dividend Cut Priced In — A Tactical Long with Defined Risk

Blue Owl: Dividend Cut Priced In — A Tactical Long with Defined Risk

Blue Owl (OWL) has been hammered by redemptions, lawsuits and distribution uncertainty. The stock trades near its 52-week low with RSI around 30, heavy short interest and an attractive headline yield. We think the worst of headline-driven selling is largely priced in and propose a defined-risk long targeting a recovery to the mid-teens over a 180-t…

Huntsman: Deep-Value Chemical Play with Cashflow and Yield Support

Huntsman: Deep-Value Chemical Play with Cashflow and Yield Support

Huntsman (HUN) trades at a sub-1x price-to-book and roughly 0.4x price-to-sales while producing meaningful free cash flow. A $0.0875/share dividend and secular demand tailwinds in polyurethanes, TPU and amines create a favorable entry for patient investors. This trade idea lays out an entry, stop and target across time horizons and highlights the o…

TTM Technologies: Buy the AI/Defense Story on Pullback — Tactical Long

TTM Technologies: Buy the AI/Defense Story on Pullback — Tactical Long

TTM Technologies (TTMI) is trading at roughly $100.75 after a strong run driven by AI/data-center exposure and a recent S&P MidCap promotion. With roughly 36% of sales tied to data-center computing and AI, management forecasting 15-20% sales growth for 2026, and a healthier balance sheet (debt/equity ~0.52), this is a tactical long for investors wh…

SAP Pullback Offers a Tactical Long — Buy the Dip, But Size Carefully

SAP Pullback Offers a Tactical Long — Buy the Dip, But Size Carefully

SAP fell sharply in recent sessions as software names sold off, leaving the stock nearer its 52-week low. Fundamentals remain solid: $246.6B market cap, recurring cloud revenue, and strategic AI-cloud tie-ups. Technicals show oversold conditions and nascent bullish MACD momentum. This is a tactical buying opportunity for a mid-term swing (45 tradin…

Wendy's: The Market Is Punishing the Reset - I’m Buying the Dip

Wendy's: The Market Is Punishing the Reset - I’m Buying the Dip

Wendy's plunged on execution worries and a messy reset, but the business still throws off meaningful free cash flow (FCF $237.8M) and trades at single-digit earnings multiples (P/E ~9.6, EV/EBITDA ~8.5). With activist Trian pushing for value-creating options and the stock sitting near its 52-week low ($6.73), the risk/reward favors a long trade her…

eBay Upgrade - Buy the Recommerce Narrative and Capital Return Tailwind

eBay Upgrade - Buy the Recommerce Narrative and Capital Return Tailwind

eBay's acquisition of Depop, stronger-than-expected Q4 results and a $2B buyback authorization make the stock attractive around $85. The business is producing solid free cash flow ($1.53B), GMV is expanding ($21.2B), and management is targeting younger buyers via Depop - a catalyst that should re-rate the multiple. My swing trade: buy $85, stop $78…

Sunoco: Buy for Distribution Growth; IDR Headwinds Are Manageable

Sunoco: Buy for Distribution Growth; IDR Headwinds Are Manageable

Sunoco L.P. is positioned to grow its distribution at least 5% in 2026 backed by $600M+ growth capex and $3.1-$3.3B adjusted EBITDA guidance. Valuation is reasonable with a $9.81B market cap, $17.79B enterprise value and an EV/EBITDA of ~11.1. I recommend a long trade to capture distribution and re-rating potential, with tight risk controls to navi…