Stock Markets February 11, 2026

Zain KSA Posts Strong Q4; Net Income Tops Estimates by 21.3%

Fourth-quarter sales, EBITDA and net profit all beat consensus; full-year dividend declared as expected

By Priya Menon
Zain KSA Posts Strong Q4; Net Income Tops Estimates by 21.3%

Zain KSA closed 2025 with quarterly results that outpaced market forecasts across core metrics. Q4 revenue of SR2.89 billion and EBITDA of SR952 million exceeded consensus, while net income of SR231 million was 21.3% higher than analysts anticipated. The firm declared an annual dividend of SR0.50 per share; management offered no forward guidance.

Key Points

  • Q4 revenue of SR2.89 billion, up 7.2% year-on-year and 2.2% above consensus - impacts the telecom and consumer sectors.
  • Q4 EBITDA of SR952 million, 4.2% above expectations, and net income of SR231 million, 21.3% above consensus - relevant to telecom investors and corporate credit analysts.
  • Full-year net income rose by SR241 million excluding prior-year one-off gains; annual dividend declared at SR0.50 per share - affects income investors and market sentiment in the telecom sector.

Quarterly highlights

Zain KSA reported a robust finish to 2025, with fourth-quarter figures beating consensus across sales, EBITDA and net income. The company recorded Q4 sales of SR2.89 billion, representing a year-on-year increase of 7.2% and coming in 2.2% above consensus estimates. EBITDA for the quarter was SR952 million, outperforming forecasts by 4.2%. Net income reached SR231 million, ahead of the SR191 million consensus by 21.3%.


Full-year performance and shareholder return

On a full-year basis, Zain KSA’s net income improved by SR241 million compared with the prior year after excluding one-off gains from that earlier period. The company also announced an annual dividend of SR0.50 per share, which aligns with market expectations.


Company commentary and analyst interpretation

Zain KSA did not issue specific remarks about the fourth-quarter performance nor did it provide guidance for upcoming periods. Analysts covering the company have suggested that the reported growth is likely attributable to strength in the consumer and wholesale segments, together with a recovery in the business-to-business (B2B) market.


What remains uncertain

Because the company offered no forward guidance and did not comment on the quarter, observers must rely on analyst interpretations to understand drivers of the outperformance. The full-year net income improvement also reflects an adjustment that excludes prior-year one-off gains, which affects direct comparability with the previous period.


Bottom line

Zain KSA’s reported Q4 results demonstrated clear upside to consensus on revenue, EBITDA and net income, and the board maintained an expected dividend payment for the year. With no company commentary or guidance provided, market participants and analysts will likely continue to monitor segment trends cited by analysts - consumer, wholesale and B2B - to assess durability of the recent performance.

Risks

  • Absence of company commentary or forward guidance limits visibility on the sustainability of growth - impacts equity investors in the telecom sector.
  • Analyst attribution of growth to consumer, wholesale and B2B segments is not confirmed by management, creating uncertainty around the underlying revenue mix - affects sector analysts covering consumer and enterprise demand.
  • Full-year comparison excludes prior-year one-off gains, which may obscure trend analysis and complicate assessment of recurring profitability - relevant for financial analysts and investors evaluating earnings quality.

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