Stock Markets February 23, 2026

US Packaging Stocks Drop After Unexpected Fall in Containerboard Prices

Shares of major packaging firms fall as RISI data shows $20/ton month-on-month decline in domestic containerboard prices

By Priya Menon
US Packaging Stocks Drop After Unexpected Fall in Containerboard Prices

Shares of several large U.S. packaging companies slid in premarket trading after RISI reported a surprise $20-per-ton decline in domestic containerboard prices. Analysts cited weaker demand, discounting by integrated producers and increased European imports as drivers of the move, a development that pressures revenue for firms that rely on containerboard pricing.

Key Points

  • RISI reported a $20 per ton month-over-month decline in domestic containerboard prices, as highlighted by JPMorgan analyst Detlef Winckelmann.
  • Premarket moves: International Paper shares fell 5.9%, Smurfit WestRock dropped 6.6%, and Sonoco Products declined 1.3%.
  • Analyst commentary attributed the price decline to sluggish U.S. demand, discounting by integrated producers, and increased imports of European containerboard where producers are absorbing tariff impacts.

Shares of prominent packaging companies moved lower in premarket trading Monday after a surprise drop in domestic containerboard prices was reported. International Paper fell 5.9%, Smurfit WestRock lost 6.6% and Sonoco Products slipped 1.3% as markets reacted to the pricing update.

The decline in containerboard prices was reported by RISI and highlighted by JPMorgan analyst Detlef Winckelmann, who said domestic prices fell by $20 per ton month-over-month. Winckelmann pointed to several immediate factors behind the price move: subdued demand conditions in the U.S., some discounting activity among integrated producers, and a rise in imports of European containerboard. He noted that European suppliers appear to be absorbing the full impact of tariffs on their shipments.

For U.S. packaging firms, containerboard pricing is a principal revenue component. The unexpected $20-per-ton reduction represents a negative shift for companies that depend on stable or rising containerboard values to support top-line results. The price development suggests softer market dynamics in the domestic packaging sector, a sector that normally tracks containerboard cost and pricing closely.

Market participants priced in the news quickly, with the three named companies registering premarket declines consistent with the reported weakness in input pricing. The move highlights how raw-material pricing updates can translate rapidly into equity-market reactions for firms tied to those commodities.


Key contextual details from the report and commentary include the size of the month-over-month price change, the stated causes cited by the analyst, and the observed premarket moves in company shares. No additional causal claims or forecasts beyond those observations were presented.

The report and subsequent market reaction underscore the sensitivity of packaging-company revenues to fluctuations in containerboard pricing and to shifts in import and producer discounting patterns.

Risks

  • Weaker containerboard pricing could reduce revenue for U.S. packaging companies that depend on containerboard as a key input cost and pricing driver - this affects the packaging and manufacturing sectors.
  • Continued discounting by integrated producers may pressure margins across the domestic packaging supply chain if price stabilization does not occur - impacting producers and converters.
  • Increased imports of European containerboard, with producers absorbing tariff effects, could continue to exert downward price pressure on the domestic market and affect trade-sensitive segments of the industry.

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