Stock Markets March 12, 2026

U.S. Futures Falter as Oil Nears $100; Selected Stocks Show Mixed Premarket Moves

Oil majors trade slightly higher even as futures retreat; retailers, asset managers and tech names post divergent premarket reactions

By Leila Farooq CVX
U.S. Futures Falter as Oil Nears $100; Selected Stocks Show Mixed Premarket Moves
CVX

U.S. stock futures slipped on Thursday morning after oil briefly climbed back above $100 a barrel. Moves by several countries to release large volumes from strategic petroleum reserves did not fully ease investor concerns about tanker disruptions tied to the Iran conflict. Premarket activity was mixed, with major oil producers edging up, while retailers, asset managers and some software and health-related names moved in both directions.

Key Points

  • U.S. futures fell while oil briefly rose above $100 a barrel, with strategic reserve releases not fully calming concerns over tanker disruptions tied to Iran - impacts seen across energy, chemical and fertilizer sectors.
  • Premarket movers were mixed: oil majors edged higher, asset manager Blue Owl fell on a $1.4 billion loan sale, and retailers and tech companies experienced divergent reactions based on guidance and earnings.
  • Company-specific developments drove notable moves, including Bumble's better-than-expected core earnings, Lightwave Logic's deal with Tower Semiconductor, Dollar General's in-line sales forecast, and Eli Lilly's comment on potential impurities in compounded weight-loss drugs.

U.S. stock futures ticked lower Thursday morning after oil prices momentarily rose above $100 per barrel, as a global release of strategic crude stores did little to calm market unease over tanker traffic disruptions connected to tensions involving Iran.

By 06:38 ET (10:38 GMT), futures were down across the board - the Dow futures contract fell by 251 points, or 0.5%, S&P 500 futures were down 28 points, or 0.4%, and Nasdaq 100 futures declined by 92 points, or 0.4%.

Premarket movers reflected the uneven market tone. Below is a snapshot of notable stock action ahead of the opening bell:

  • Oil producers - Exxon Mobil, Chevron, and ConocoPhillips traded slightly higher in premarket sessions as oil prices stayed elevated despite trimming some earlier gains. Chemical and fertilizer names also showed modest upticks.
  • Blue Owl Capital - The asset manager fell after confirming its decision to sell $1.4 billion of loans from three of its funds, drawing attention amid recent concerns about the private-credit sector.
  • Bumble - Shares jumped following a fiscal first-quarter report in which core earnings outperformed expectations; analysts also noted anticipation for a planned product overhaul later in the year.
  • Lightwave Logic - The stock surged after securing a development agreement with Tower Semiconductor.
  • Dollar General - Shares slipped as an annual sales forecast that was in line with company guidance disappointed some investors, particularly after a recent sharp appreciation in the stock.
  • UiPath - The software company declined after analysts, reported by Bloomberg News, flagged concerns about its future growth prospects despite a solid quarterly earnings report.
  • Petco - Shares rose after first-quarter core adjusted income exceeded analyst estimates.
  • Eli Lilly - The drugmaker was marginally lower after saying compounded weight-loss drugs that contain the main ingredient found in its Zepbound could pose health risks because of a previously unknown impurity in their preparation.

Separately, a market research blurb posed the question, "Should you be buying CVX right now?" and described a service that evaluates CVX alongside thousands of companies using more than 100 financial metrics. That commentary referenced past winners identified by the service, naming Super Micro Computer (+185%) and AppLovin (+157%) as examples.

Overall, premarket activity reflected persistent sensitivity to oil-market developments and company-specific news that ranged from earnings beats to regulatory or safety-related concerns.


Bottom line - Early trading activity showed oil-linked names holding modest gains even as broader futures dipped, with individual earnings, guidance and credit-related moves driving a mixed set of premarket winners and losers.

Risks

  • Continued tanker traffic disruptions related to the Iran conflict could keep oil prices elevated and add volatility to energy and related sectors.
  • Releases from strategic petroleum reserves may not be sufficient to calm markets if supply risks persist, affecting oil majors and downstream chemical and fertilizer firms.
  • Company-specific uncertainties - including private-credit asset sales, in-line guidance after sharp rallies, and health-related disclosures about drug impurities - could produce further stock-level volatility in asset management, retail, software, and healthcare sectors.

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