Stock Markets March 13, 2026

U.S. Equity Funds Face Second Week of Withdrawals as Middle East Attacks Drive Oil Spike

Investors shift toward bonds, treasuries and cash as crude surges and shipping disruptions heighten stagflation fears

By Nina Shah
U.S. Equity Funds Face Second Week of Withdrawals as Middle East Attacks Drive Oil Spike

U.S. equity mutual funds and ETFs experienced net outflows for a second consecutive week through March 11, amid a sharp rise in crude prices and disruptions to shipping in the Gulf and the Strait of Hormuz. Fund flows favored bond strategies, short-to-intermediate government and treasury funds, and money market instruments as investors sought safer, shorter-duration exposures.

Key Points

  • U.S. equity funds experienced net outflows of $7.77 billion in the week through March 11, extending a prior-week selling trend of about $21.91 billion.
  • Crude oil surged 9.7% on Thursday, taking month-to-date gains to roughly 42.88%, as attacks disrupted shipping in the Gulf and the Strait of Hormuz.
  • Bond funds drew about $8.21 billion in net inflows for a 10th straight week, with short-to-intermediate government and treasury funds capturing roughly $4.05 billion.

U.S. equity funds recorded their second straight week of net redemptions through March 11, with investors withdrawing $7.77 billion, according to LSEG Lipper data. That followed roughly $21.91 billion in net sales the prior week, underscoring a sustained shift away from equity exposures as geopolitical events in the Middle East heightened economic and market uncertainty.

Markets reacted sharply to attacks on energy infrastructure and oil tankers in the region. U.S. crude prices rose 9.7% on Thursday, leaving month-to-date gains at about 42.88% as traders described the situation as the largest oil supply disruption in history. Shipping in the Gulf and through the narrow Strait of Hormuz moved close to a standstill, a development investors cited as a key driver of market sentiment.

Within equity fund categories, the large-cap segment bore the brunt of outflows with net redemptions of $20.98 billion. Mid-cap funds saw $405 million in net withdrawals and small-cap funds recorded $8 million in net outflows. In contrast, the multi-cap sector posted a net weekly inflow of $9.32 billion.

Style-based flows showed investors exiting growth funds to the tune of $4.48 billion, while value funds continued to attract capital for a fifth straight week, bringing in $2.91 billion. The rotation between growth and value persisted amid the wider market reallocation.

Fixed income strategies remained a magnet for cash, drawing an estimated $8.21 billion in net inflows for a 10th consecutive week. Short-to-intermediate government and treasury funds accounted for roughly $4.05 billion of those inflows - the largest weekly amount since December 24. Short-to-intermediate investment-grade funds and municipal debt funds also received net purchases of $2.77 billion and $614 million, respectively.

Cash equivalents saw increased demand as well: U.S. money market funds attracted about $1.5 billion in net inflows, marking a fourth successive week of positive flows into the segment.


Contextual note - Investors shifted allocations across equity market capitalizations, equity styles, and fixed income sectors in response to rising oil prices and shipping disruptions. The result was a pronounced preference for shorter-duration government and treasury exposures, investment-grade credit and municipal debt, plus continued demand for money market instruments.

Risks

  • Elevated oil prices and shipping disruptions could intensify stagflationary pressures - impacting sectors sensitive to energy costs such as transportation and industries reliant on fuel inputs.
  • Sustained outflows from equity funds, particularly large-cap segments, heighten market volatility and could weigh on equity valuations.
  • A continued shift into short-duration government and treasury funds and money market instruments may reduce liquidity in higher-risk credit sectors, affecting investment-grade and municipal market dynamics.

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