Stock Markets March 17, 2026

UK markets tick up as oil rises and investors eye central banks and geopolitical risks

FTSE 100 edges higher while pound holds above $1.33; corporate results show a mixed earnings picture across retail, technology and finance

By Hana Yamamoto TRST WIX
UK markets tick up as oil rises and investors eye central banks and geopolitical risks
TRST WIX

British equities opened modestly firmer on Tuesday, with the FTSE 100 gaining and the pound easing slightly but remaining above $1.33. European markets were mixed as oil prices firmed amid geopolitical tension. Market attention this week centres on upcoming central bank meetings and ongoing developments in the Middle East, even as corporate reports from a cross-section of UK-listed companies delivered varied results.

Key Points

  • FTSE 100 opened 0.1% higher while the pound eased to $1.3314 as oil prices rose amid Middle East tensions.
  • A mixed set of corporate results: Trustpilot, Wickes, Ashtead and Boku reported growth or beats, while Close Brothers, Sthree, Travis Perkins and Essentra flagged profit or margin pressures.
  • Market focus is on upcoming Federal Reserve and European Central Bank meetings and geopolitical developments; Jefferies expects a wait-and-see stance from both central banks.

London's blue-chip index moved higher in early trade on Tuesday, extending a recent run of gains as traders balanced signs of firm oil prices and geopolitical unease against a calendar of pivotal central bank meetings. At 08:31 GMT the FTSE 100 had advanced 0.1%, while the pound slipped 0.05% against the dollar to trade at 1.3314. Across the Channel, Germany's DAX fell 0.3% and France's CAC 40 inched up 0.09% as European bourses showed a split performance.

Oil prices were higher in the session, reflecting rising geopolitical tension in the Middle East, and that price move came alongside a general sense of caution ahead of policy decisions from major central banks. Investment research cited in market commentary this week expects the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank to adopt a largely wait-and-see stance amid prevailing uncertainty, while maintaining the view that some of the rate hikes priced into the front end of the Europe curve could ease.


Summary of corporate news in the UK

A number of UK-listed companies reported full-year or quarterly results on Tuesday, offering a mixed set of outcomes across sectors. Some companies beat consensus expectations and pointed to growth drivers such as artificial intelligence visibility or acquisitive expansion. Others saw margins compress, one large lender recorded a statutory pre-tax loss after provisions, and a high-profile buy-and-build group reported another year of material charges.

The notable corporate releases included:

  • Trustpilot Group PLC reported fiscal 2025 revenue of $261.1 million, a 20% constant-currency increase from $210.7 million the year before, and adjusted EBITDA of $40.7 million, ahead of the company-compiled consensus of $38.5 million. Adjusted diluted EPS was 4.8 cents versus a consensus of 5.0 cents. Management issued fiscal 2026 guidance above analyst expectations, citing momentum in artificial intelligence search visibility and enterprise customer growth.
  • Wickes Group PLC posted full-year adjusted profit before tax of £49.9 million for the 52 weeks ended December 27, 2025, beating consensus of £48.2 million and representing a 14.4% increase from £43.6 million the prior year. Revenue climbed 5.9% to £1,636.2 million, with the retail division up 6.5% to £1,208.9 million and Design & Installation rising 4.4% to £427.3 million. The company said operating leverage and productivity helped to partially offset cost inflation.
  • Ashtead Technology Holdings PLC reported full-year 2025 revenue of £203.2 million, up 21% year-over-year, and adjusted EPS of 49.4 pence, a 10% increase from the prior year. Revenue growth stemmed from 3% organic expansion and a 19% contribution from acquisitions of Seatronics and J2 Subsea, partly offset by a 1% foreign exchange headwind. The subsea technology provider reiterated confidence in delivering progress through 2026 while noting it is monitoring geopolitical volatility in the Middle East.
  • Close Brothers Group plc recorded a weaker first-half outcome as a smaller loan book weighed on income. Adjusted operating profit fell 19% to £65.2 million for the six months to January 31, 2026. The lender reported a statutory pre-tax loss of £65.5 million, following a £135 million provision booked in October linked to potential motor finance redress, part of a wider industry issue around commission arrangements on car loans. The company said cost discipline and improving credit quality helped mitigate some of the pressure.
  • Sthree Plc disclosed an 8% decline in first-quarter net fees, with group net fees of £71.7 million for the three months to February 28, down from £78.4 million a year earlier. The company also announced its chief financial officer will step down as weakness across European markets offset growth in the United States and Japan.
  • Travis Perkins PLC reported a full-year after-tax loss of £176 million for 2025, compared with a loss of £77 million the prior year, marking the third consecutive year featuring material charges. The group recorded £222 million in write-downs across its Merchanting and Toolstation businesses. Operating loss widened to £97 million from a £2 million profit in 2024; adjusted operating profit, which excludes the charges, fell to £133 million from £152 million, though that adjusted figure beat RBC Capital Markets' estimate of £128 million and market consensus of £132 million.
  • Essentra PLC delivered full-year 2025 results largely in line with analyst expectations, reporting revenue of £302.0 million and adjusted EPS of 6.1 pence. Revenue rose 2.5% on a constant-currency basis, with all three geographic regions contributing growth (EMEA up 2.6%, Americas up 2.0%, APAC up 3.1%). Adjusted operating profit decreased to £32.0 million from £40.1 million, and adjusted operating margin narrowed to 10.6% from 13.3%, reflecting margin pressure amid operational challenges.
  • Boku Inc reported full-year 2025 results consistent with its January trading update, with revenue up 30% to $128.8 million as the payments technology company expanded in key markets. Total Payment Volume rose 27% to $15.7 billion and adjusted EBITDA increased 36% to $41.3 million, representing a margin of 32.1%. The company's EMEA region led growth with a 39% increase in the second half.

Policy and geopolitical backdrop

Markets are focused on upcoming central bank meetings, with analysts flagging a probable move toward a cautious stance - Chicago and Frankfurt faces aside - as policymakers weigh uncertain growth and inflation signals. Jefferies' commentary referenced in market notes this week suggests both the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank are likely to be patient, while retaining the view that some rate hikes currently priced into the front end of the Europe curve could diminish.

Geopolitical risk also remains present. Several company updates referenced the impact of volatility in the Middle East, and the rise in oil prices during the session is consistent with that concern. In corporate commentary, Ashtead Technology explicitly said it is monitoring geopolitical developments in the Middle East while maintaining confidence about its 2026 outlook.


Defence cooperation announcement

Separately, Finland, the Netherlands and the United Kingdom announced plans to explore a joint mechanism for defence financing and procurement, with an aim to launch the initiative by 2027. The three NATO allies said the mechanism would seek to aggregate demand, enable joint procurement, speed up defence investment and increase availability of critical capabilities such as munitions while they expand shared defence commitments. The joint statement cited disruptions to the rules-based international order and heightened threats from hostile actors as drivers for strengthened collaboration.


Market implications and sectors in focus

The trading session and corporate releases point to a split picture across sectors. Retail and home improvement saw encouraging topline growth and operating leverage in the case of Wickes. Technology and payments providers such as Trustpilot and Boku reported strong top-line momentum. Industrial specialty groups like Ashtead Technology benefited from acquisitive expansion while noting geopolitical monitoring. Financials faced pressure from smaller loan books and industry-specific provisions as evidenced by Close Brothers. Building materials and merchanting groups such as Travis Perkins continue to work through impairment and restructuring charges. Manufacturing-related packaging and components supplier Essentra reported steady revenue but margin compression.


What to watch next

Investors will be tracking central bank communications closely for any shift in policy tone, monitoring geopolitical developments that could affect commodity prices and supply chains, and parsing corporate updates for signs of durable margin recovery or further cost pressure across sectors.

Risks

  • Geopolitical volatility in the Middle East could keep oil prices elevated, affecting energy-sensitive sectors and input cost dynamics.
  • Industry-specific provisions and legacy charges, such as those reported by Close Brothers and Travis Perkins, can materially depress earnings in financials and merchanting sectors.
  • Margin compression noted at companies like Essentra and the ongoing need for operating leverage to offset cost inflation introduce earnings uncertainty for manufacturing and retail suppliers.

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