Stock Markets February 17, 2026

Suncorp’s H1 Cash Earnings Collapse After Surge in Natural Hazard Costs

Severe weather payouts and weaker investment returns drive a 67% fall in underlying profit and a reduced interim dividend

By Sofia Navarro SUN
Suncorp’s H1 Cash Earnings Collapse After Surge in Natural Hazard Costs
SUN

Suncorp Group reported a sharp decline in first-half cash earnings as unusually large natural hazard costs and lower investment income weighed on results. The insurer recorded A$1.32 billion in natural hazard expenses across nine major events in Australia and New Zealand, well above its six-month allowance and materially higher than the prior year. Cash earnings fell to A$270 million and the interim dividend was cut to 17 Australian cents per share.

Key Points

  • Suncorp recorded A$1.32 billion in natural hazard expenses for the half-year, well above its A$866 million allowance and more than double the previous year’s A$503 million.
  • Investment income declined 31% to A$259 million, contributing to a fall in first-half cash earnings to A$270 million from A$828 million a year earlier.
  • The interim dividend was cut to 17 Australian cents per share from 41 Australian cents; Suncorp is now a pure-play general insurer after selling its banking division to ANZ Group in 2024.

Suncorp Group reported a significant deterioration in first-half cash earnings, driven principally by an escalation in natural hazard costs and a drop in investment income. For the six months to December, the general insurer booked A$1.32 billion in natural hazard expenses, a figure substantially above the A$866 million allowance it had set for the period and more than twice the A$503 million recorded in the same period a year earlier.

The company said the high natural hazard charge reflected nine major events in Australia and New Zealand during the half, which included severe thunderstorms, coastal lows, windstorms, and floods. Those claims were a primary contributor to the decline in the insurer’s underlying profitability.

Investment income also weakened, falling by 31% to A$259 million. The combination of elevated claims from natural hazards and softer investment returns left Suncorp’s first-half cash earnings at A$270 million - a steep reduction from A$828 million a year earlier and below the Visible Alpha consensus of A$311.2 million.

In line with the weaker result, Suncorp declared an interim dividend of 17 Australian cents per share, down from 41 Australian cents in the prior year. The company has been operating as a pure-play general insurer since selling its banking division to ANZ Group in 2024.

The results underline the immediate financial impact of concentrated severe weather activity and illustrate how movement in investment returns can amplify earnings volatility for insurers that retain market exposures.

Currency disclosure included in the report notes that $1 equals 1.4120 Australian dollars.


Additional context provided by the company

Suncorp’s natural hazard expense for the half-year was driven by multiple, geographically concentrated events across its operating footprint. The insurer’s reported allowance for natural hazards was notably exceeded, which translated directly into higher claims charges and lower cash profitability for the reporting period.

Management reduced the interim shareholder payout in response to the earnings outcome. The combination of elevated catastrophe payouts and diminished investment income explains the material fall in cash earnings compared with the prior year.

Risks

  • Elevated and unpredictable natural hazard costs could continue to pressure insurer profitability and claims reserves - this primarily affects the insurance sector and reinsurers.
  • Volatility or declines in investment income can further erode underlying earnings for insurers that rely on investment returns to support profitability - this impacts financial and investment markets.
  • A reduced dividend may weigh on shareholder returns and investor sentiment toward the insurer - this affects equity investors in the insurance sector.

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