Stock Markets February 23, 2026

South Korea ETF Sees Biggest Weekly Inflows in a Decade as 2026 Profit Forecasts Surge

KB Securities cites roughly $1 billion of inflows and forecasts a sharp rebound in KOSPI operating profit led by semiconductors and Samsung Electronics

By Ajmal Hussain
South Korea ETF Sees Biggest Weekly Inflows in a Decade as 2026 Profit Forecasts Surge

The MSCI South Korea Cap ETF attracted about $1 billion in net new money over the past week, the largest weekly inflow in ten years, according to KB Securities. The brokerage highlights a combination of steep year-over-year earnings growth and a single-digit price-to-earnings metric for the market, while forecasting a substantial increase in 2026 operating profits driven mainly by Samsung Electronics and the semiconductor industry.

Key Points

  • The MSCI South Korea Cap ETF drew about $1 billion in inflows over the past week, the largest weekly inflow in a decade according to KB Securities.
  • KB Securities highlights a 90% year-over-year earnings growth outlook for the Korean market alongside a valuation of roughly 10-times price-to-earnings.
  • KB forecasts 2026 KOSPI operating profit of 583 trillion won, driven largely by a projected 224 trillion won increase in operating profit from Samsung Electronics and other semiconductor companies, with Samsung alone expected to report 170 trillion won in operating profit (a 290% year-over-year increase).

The MSCI South Korea Cap ETF registered approximately $1 billion of inflows during the most recent week, an amount KB Securities says represents the largest weekly addition to the fund in a decade.

KB Securities described the South Korean equity market as notable among emerging markets for offering both an earnings expansion of 90% year-over-year and valuation support at roughly a 10-times price-to-earnings ratio. Those two metrics form the core rationale the firm cited for elevated investor interest.

On a company and sector level, KB Securities projects a marked recovery in operating profits for 2026. The brokerage estimates that Samsung Electronics together with other semiconductor companies will deliver a combined operating profit increase of 224 trillion won year-over-year. Within that total, Samsung Electronics is forecast to account for an operating profit of 170 trillion won in 2026, which KB Securities said would represent a 290% rise compared with the prior year.

KB Securities also quantified the semiconductor industry’s contribution to the broader market turnaround, saying the sector’s operating profit gain represents 84% of the projected 267 trillion won increase in total KOSPI operating profit. The firm’s composite forecast for KOSPI operating profit in 2026 is 583 trillion won, a 90% increase from the previous year.

The influx into the MSCI South Korea Cap ETF appears to reflect these profit projections and the valuation profile flagged by KB Securities. According to the brokerage, the combination of sizeable earnings growth and a roughly 10-times P/E ratio underpins the case investors are making for South Korean equities, particularly those tied to technology and semiconductors.

What the reporting presents is a concentrated forecast-driven picture: materially higher operating profits for 2026, dominated by Samsung Electronics and the semiconductor industry, accompanied by strong short-term inflows into a key South Korea ETF. The coverage does not supply additional detail on forecast assumptions, alternative scenarios, or the distribution of investor types behind the ETF inflows.


Impacted sectors - Technology, Semiconductors, Korean equity market (KOSPI).

Risks

  • The article does not present information on the confidence, sensitivity analysis, or downside scenarios for the 2026 profit forecasts; lack of disclosed forecast assumptions limits assessment of forecast risk.
  • No details are provided on the durability of the ETF inflows or the investor composition behind them, leaving uncertainty around whether flows are transient or sustained.
  • The reporting does not include information on potential catalysts or timelines beyond the 2026 operating profit figures, which constrains visibility into near-term market drivers.

More from Stock Markets

Psyence Biomedical to Exchange Shares with Psyence Labs in $5M Equity Swap Feb 23, 2026 MoonLake Shares Rise After Positive Phase 2 axSpA Data for Sonelokimab Feb 23, 2026 Gossamer Bio Shares Plunge After Seralutinib Misses Primary Endpoint in Phase 3 PROSERA Trial Feb 23, 2026 Wolfe Research Lays Out Remaining Questions After Trump Moves to 15% Global Tariffs Feb 23, 2026 Armata Shares Tick Higher After FDA Grants QIDP Status to Phage Candidate Feb 23, 2026