Stock Markets March 5, 2026

OSB Group trims capital target, releases over £100m for shareholder returns

Specialist lender adjusts CET1 goal and issues multi-year profitability roadmap while confirming FY25 results and a £100m buyback

By Hana Yamamoto
OSB Group trims capital target, releases over £100m for shareholder returns

OSB Group lowered its common equity tier 1 (CET1) capital ratio target to 13-13.5% from 14%, freeing more than £100m of capital over a glide path and announcing a £100m buyback after reporting FY25 results in line with management expectations. The lender provided profitability guidance through 2029 and reiterated near-term margin and growth assumptions.

Key Points

  • OSB lowered its CET1 target to 13-13.5% from 14%, releasing over A3100m of capital on a glide path - impacts banking and investor returns.
  • FY25 results met management expectations: NIM 228 basis points (H2 at 226 bps) and loan book growth of 3.2% with buy-to-let at 68% and commercial lending at 7% - relevant for mortgage and lending markets.
  • Multi-year guidance issued through FY29 includes FY26 ROTE in the low teens and FY27-FY28 mid-teens, with FY29 at the top end of mid-teens, supported by circa 225 bps NIM and circa 3.2% loan growth - affects financial sector forecasts and investor valuation models.

OSB Group reported full-year 2025 results that met management expectations and simultaneously revised its capital target and medium-term profitability guidance. The specialist UK lender reduced its CET1 ratio target to 13-13.5% from 14%, a move the company said will free up in excess of £100m of capital phased in over a glide path.

At the end of FY25 the bank's CET1 ratio was 15.8% prior to the announcement of a £100m share buyback. Management also confirmed that OSB met all of its FY25 guidance, with net interest margin finishing the year at 228 basis points, marginally above the circa 225 basis points target. NIM in the second half of 2025 was 226 basis points.

Looking ahead, the bank reiterated a return on tangible equity (ROTE) target for FY26 of low teens, supported by expectations of a NIM around 225 basis points, loan growth of circa 3.2%, and adjusted administrative costs of roughly A3280m. For FY27 and FY28, OSB maintained ROTE guidance in the mid-teens and added a FY29 target at the top end of the mid-teens.

OSB's loan book expanded by 3.2% in FY25. Within the portfolio, buy-to-let lending accounted for 68% of the book, down from 70% a year earlier, while commercial lending rose to 7% from 5%.

The bank set out the expected impact of incoming regulatory changes, estimating that implementation of Basel 3.1 will increase capital requirements by circa 130 basis points, equivalent to about a 9% rise in risk-weighted assets. That change is expected to take effect from January 1, 2027. OSB said it continues to engage with the Prudential Regulation Authority regarding its internal ratings-based application.

Management reiterated that its FY26 NIM assumption of circa 225 basis points reflects mortgage margin compression anticipated to ease in the second half of 2026, alongside a gradual normalization in retail funding costs from current elevated levels. The guidance package, combined with the lowered CET1 target, underpins the decision to free capital and proceed with shareholder returns.


OSB's package of updated targets and guidance provides a clearer multi-year profitability trajectory while signalling a willingness to return capital to shareholders. The bank's maintained lending growth and shifting book composition toward a slightly higher commercial share are key operational details alongside regulatory headwinds from Basel 3.1 and ongoing engagement with the PRA.

Risks

  • Basel 3.1 is expected to raise capital requirements by circa 130 basis points, a c.9% increase in risk-weighted assets effective January 1, 2027 - risk for capital planning and regulatory compliance in the banking sector.
  • Mortgage margin compression through 2026 and elevated retail funding costs could pressure net interest margins until compression fades and funding costs normalize - a risk to banking profitability.
  • Ongoing regulatory processes, including engagement with the Prudential Regulation Authority over the internal ratings-based application, introduce execution and timing uncertainty - potential impact on capital and strategic plans for the lender and its peers.

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