Stock Markets March 18, 2026

Optical-equipment stocks jump pre-market as OFC presentations underscore AI-driven demand

Industry participants outline capacity ramps and long-term addressable markets for co-packaged optics amid strong transceiver demand

By Ajmal Hussain AAOI LITE COHR VIAV NVDA
Optical-equipment stocks jump pre-market as OFC presentations underscore AI-driven demand
AAOI LITE COHR VIAV NVDA

Shares of several optical equipment suppliers rallied in pre-market trading after presentations at the Optical Fiber Communication Conference emphasized strong demand tied to AI infrastructure. Executives and analysts at the event highlighted planned capacity builds, sold-out laser inventories, and sizable serviceable addressable market estimates for next-generation optical interconnects and co-packaged optics (CPO).

Key Points

  • Optical equipment stocks posted notable pre-open gains after OFC presentations highlighted AI-driven demand and capacity plans.
  • Analysts and company executives signaled a shift toward scale-up co-packaged optics beginning in 2028, with 400G per lane (3.2T) cited as a key inflection point.
  • Suppliers are responding to near-term supply tightness and long-term market opportunity with new capacity plans and product ramp schedules.

Shares of multiple optical-equipment companies surged in pre-open trading Wednesday after executives and analysts detailed demand trends and capacity plans at the Optical Fiber Communication Conference (OFC).

Applied Optoelectronics (NASDAQ:AAOI) led the moves, jumping 9% pre-open. Lumentum (NASDAQ:LITE) advanced 7%, Coherent (NASDAQ:COHR) rose 2.3%, and Viavi Solutions (NASDAQ:VIAV) gained 1% as companies on the conference stage discussed growth opportunities tied to AI-driven networking upgrades.

Conference commentary echoed a growing industry narrative that next-generation optical interconnects and co-packaged optics will be important elements of AI infrastructure expansion. Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang was cited during presentations as urging the need for increased-capacity optical interconnect solutions, while also noting that copper connections will remain in heavy demand. Those remarks framed part of the bullish tone around optics suppliers.

Analyst Mike Genovese of Rosenblatt described Lumentum’s presentation as bullish and characterized other company presentations as thoughtful, calling day one of OFC positive. Genovese highlighted the timing and scale of CPO adoption, saying scale-up co-packaged optics starts in 2028 at 400G per lane or 3.2T, and that this step represents a material content-gain opportunity for optical vendors.

On the supply side, Genovese noted that indium phosphide lasers are sold out through 2027 and into 2028, a situation he attributed to transceiver demand and some scale-out CPO activity. That tightness has prompted capacity investments: companies including Lumentum and Coherent are building new manufacturing capacity aimed at scale-up CPO, which Genovese said suggests the AI infrastructure expansion cycle could continue until the end of the decade.

Coherent provided its own market-sizing perspective at the conference, stating that optical circuit switching, next-generation pluggable optics and CPO, multi-rail architectures, and thermal solutions add more than $20 billion to its existing $50 billion serviceable addressable market. The company sized its CPO SAM as over $15 billion in 2030.

Applied Optoelectronics outlined specific product and volume plans tied to CPO in its capacity ramp program. The company said it will include 300mw/400mn External Laser Small Form-Factor Pluggable modules for CPO and forecasted production of 5,000 ELSFP units per month exiting 2026, rising to 50,000 units per month by mid-2027 and 400,000 units per month exiting 2027.

Taken together, the presentations and estimates delivered at OFC helped lift optics-related equities in pre-market trade as investors priced in expanded content per system and multi-year infrastructure build dynamics tied to AI deployment.

Risks

  • Indium phosphide lasers are reported sold out through 2027 and into 2028, creating near-term supply constraints for transceiver and some CPO demand - this affects optical components and data-center networking sectors.
  • The timing of scale-up CPO adoption is anchored to a 2028 start at 400G per lane; delays or slower-than-expected uptake could affect revenue trajectories for optical suppliers and equipment makers.
  • Capacity buildouts by firms such as Lumentum and Coherent are underway, but execution risk on ramp schedules and achieving targeted monthly output levels could introduce uncertainty for the broader AI infrastructure supply chain.

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