Stock Markets February 17, 2026

Ocular Therapeutix Shares Dive After Positive AXPAXLI Phase 3 Readout

SOL-1 trial shows superiority on primary endpoint, but stock falls amid investor concerns and pending regulatory steps

By Leila Farooq OCUL
Ocular Therapeutix Shares Dive After Positive AXPAXLI Phase 3 Readout
OCUL

Ocular Therapeutix reported that its AXPAXLI candidate met the primary endpoint in the Phase 3 SOL-1 trial for wet age-related macular degeneration, but the company's shares plunged 35% on the news. The SOL-1 data showed a significant advantage over aflibercept at Week 36; the company plans to discuss a potential NDA submission with the FDA while a complementary Phase 3 study continues.

Key Points

  • AXPAXLI met the SOL-1 Phase 3 primary endpoint, showing superiority to aflibercept in maintaining vision at Week 36; 74.1% of subjects maintained vision, a 17.5% risk difference (p=0.0006).
  • The trial also reported 65.9% of AXPAXLI-treated subjects maintained vision at Week 52 and 68.8% were rescue-free at Week 52; no treatment-related ocular serious adverse events were reported.
  • Ocular Therapeutix will pursue FDA discussions ahead of a potential NDA submission and continues its SOL-R Phase 3 non-inferiority trial, with topline data expected in Q1 2027 - implications affect the biotech and healthcare sectors and equity investors.

Ocular Therapeutix saw its stock slide steeply even after announcing that its AXPAXLI therapy achieved the primary endpoint in the SOL-1 Phase 3 superiority trial for wet age-related macular degeneration (wet AMD).

The company reported that AXPAXLI was superior to aflibercept in preserving vision at Week 36. In the SOL-1 cohort, 74.1% of patients treated with AXPAXLI maintained vision at that timepoint, corresponding to a 17.5% risk difference versus the aflibercept arm, with a p-value of 0.0006. The firm also disclosed that 65.9% of AXPAXLI-treated subjects maintained vision at Week 52, and 68.8% of patients remained rescue-free at Week 52.

Ocular Therapeutix characterized AXPAXLI as generally well-tolerated in the trial and noted there were no treatment-related ocular serious adverse events reported. Based on the SOL-1 dataset, the company intends to pursue discussions with the U.S. Food and Drug Administration that would inform a potential New Drug Application submission. If approved, AXPAXLI could represent the first tyrosine kinase inhibitor to reach the market for wet AMD therapy.

Despite the trial outcome and the safety statement, investors reacted negatively, sending Ocular Therapeutix shares down 35% on Tuesday. The company noted that market participants may be focusing on elements of the data or potential regulatory hurdles, which it said appeared to weigh on the share price.

Ocular Therapeutix is also running a complementary SOL-R Phase 3 non-inferiority trial; topline results from that study are expected in the first quarter of 2027. The company plans to present detailed SOL-1 findings at the 49th Macula Society Annual Meeting later this month.


Context and next steps

The SOL-1 readout provides statistically significant evidence of AXPAXLI's superiority on the primary endpoint at Week 36 and shows additional measures of maintained vision and rescue-free status at Week 52. The company has framed the safety profile as acceptable based on the absence of treatment-related ocular serious adverse events in the trial.

Management intends to engage with regulators prior to any NDA filing, and the outcome of those discussions, together with the pending SOL-R topline data, will shape the regulatory and commercial pathway for AXPAXLI.

Risks

  • Investor concern about unspecified aspects of the SOL-1 data or possible regulatory challenges, which contributed to a 35% share price decline - this affects market valuation and investor sentiment in the biotech sector.
  • Regulatory uncertainty pending planned discussions with the FDA prior to any NDA submission - outcomes of those discussions could influence approval prospects and timelines for the drug development and pharmaceutical markets.
  • Reliance on the ongoing SOL-R Phase 3 non-inferiority trial, with topline data not due until the first quarter of 2027 - the delayed additional data introduces timing risk for both clinical and commercial milestones.

More from Stock Markets

Indigenous Occupation Halts Operations at Cargill’s Santarem Terminal Feb 21, 2026 Market Turbulence Reinforces Case for Broader Diversification Feb 21, 2026 NYSE Holdings UK Ltd launches unified trading platform to streamline market access Feb 21, 2026 Earnings Drive Weekly Winners and Losers as Buyout Headlines Lift Masimo Feb 21, 2026 Barclays Sees 'Physical AI' Scaling to Hundreds of Billions by 2035 Feb 21, 2026