Stock Markets February 25, 2026

Morgan Stanley Sees Buying Opportunities Amid AI Disruption Concerns

Bank argues market moves tied to AI fears may open windows to well-positioned incumbents and AI adopters with pricing power

By Jordan Park
Morgan Stanley Sees Buying Opportunities Amid AI Disruption Concerns

Morgan Stanley tells clients that recent market volatility attributed to artificial intelligence disruption may be creating investment opportunities. Analyst Andrew Pauker highlights that firms perceived as vulnerable are a relatively small share of S&P 500 market capitalization, are inexpensive versus historical norms, and are under-owned. The bank's transcript analysis finds a rising share of companies reporting measurable benefits from AI, and it sees margin improvements for AI adopters with pricing power. Sector-by-sector, banks, business services, consumer finance and software show varied implications.

Key Points

  • Morgan Stanley views recent AI-related market moves as potential buying opportunities in well-positioned incumbents and AI adopters with pricing power.
  • The firms seen as most vulnerable to AI disruption represent about 13% of S&P 500 market capitalization, are cheap versus history, and are under-owned at the 20th percentile of net exposure since 2010.
  • Bank analysis of more than 10,000 earnings and call transcripts shows a steady rise in companies reporting quantifiable benefits from AI, with accelerating margin expectations for AI adopters that have pricing power.

Morgan Stanley says swings in equity prices linked to concerns about artificial intelligence-driven disruption could be generating attractive entry points for investors who target companies with the right mix of market position and AI adoption.

In a client note, analyst Andrew Pauker wrote that "recent price action tied to AI disruption risk presents opportunities in well-positioned incumbents and AI adopters with pricing power." The firm frames current volatility as a potential chance to buy into firms that both deploy AI and command pricing strength in their markets.

According to Morgan Stanley's analysis, the set of companies viewed as most exposed to disruption represents a relatively small slice of the S&P 500 - about 13% of market capitalization. Those firms are described as cheap relative to their own history and currently under-owned, sitting in the 20th percentile of net exposure since 2010. The bank also notes that these groups tend to have a high concentration of AI adopters and exhibit strong pricing power.

Morgan Stanley reviewed more than 10,000 earnings reports and conference call transcripts to track corporate commentary on AI. The bank reports a steady increase in the share of companies that cite quantifiable benefits from AI adoption. Alongside that trend, margin expectations are said to be accelerating for AI adopters that also possess pricing power, strengthening the investment case for owning such businesses despite the recent market turbulence.

Views on sectors vary within the bank's framework. Banks are identified as "net AI beneficiaries," with the firm asserting that early productivity gains are already observable. Business services companies that combine strong brands and proprietary data are likewise portrayed as well-positioned to benefit. In consumer finance, Morgan Stanley acknowledges the presence of job-loss risks but argues that "long-term efficiency gains" should offset near-term disruption concerns. In software, Pauker wrote that "GenAI fundamentally expands the capabilities of enterprise software," which the bank believes creates attractive entry points for established vendors.

Despite the broad AI adoption tailwinds the bank identifies, Morgan Stanley cautions that performance is likely to remain dispersed at the stock level. It therefore recommends a stock-specific approach rather than blanket exposure, underscoring that individual company attributes - such as pricing power, data assets, and demonstrated AI benefits - will determine which names ultimately benefit.


Implications

For investors, the bank's view suggests focusing on companies that combine AI adoption with durable pricing power. For sectors, the analysis highlights differentiated outcomes across banking, business services, consumer finance and enterprise software.

Risks

  • Short-term job-loss risks and disruption in consumer finance could create near-term volatility, even if long-term efficiency gains are expected - this affects the consumer finance sector.
  • High performance dispersion across individual stocks means broad sector exposure may not capture winners - stock-specific selection risk affects all sectors discussed.
  • Market perceptions of AI disruption could continue to drive price swings, complicating timing and entry points for investors focused on banks, business services, software and other sectors.

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