Stock Markets March 5, 2026

Morgan Stanley Revisions Shift Focus to GigaDevice and Sinopec on China List

Investment bank replaces two names on its China/HK Focus List, highlighting semiconductor supply tightness and petrochemical capacity dynamics

By Marcus Reed
Morgan Stanley Revisions Shift Focus to GigaDevice and Sinopec on China List

Morgan Stanley has revised its China/Hong Kong Focus List by adding GigaDevice and Sinopec and removing Espressif Systems and Sunny Optical. The changes reflect the bank's expectations for NOR and DDR4 supply deficits in 2026 and its view that Sinopec's capacity profile and margins could support recovery in the petrochemical sector. GigaDevice also appears on Morgan Stanley's A-share Thematic List, while the China/HK Focus List now includes 15 stocks.

Key Points

  • Morgan Stanley added GigaDevice (603986.SS) and Sinopec (0386.HK) to its China/HK Focus List and removed Espressif Systems and Sunny Optical.
  • The bank forecasts undersupplies in NOR flash (8%) and DDR4 (26%) in 2026 and expects pricing and market-share benefits for GigaDevice, including gains in automotive MCU quality and penetration.
  • Morgan Stanley views Sinopec's scalable existing capacity and new capacity pipeline as central to structural recovery in the petrochemical industry, and expects narrowing losses in its chemicals business in 2026 alongside a roughly 6% dividend yield based on 2026 estimates.

Morgan Stanley has updated the composition of its China/Hong Kong Focus List, adding two companies and dropping two others as it recalibrates its coverage priorities across semiconductor and petrochemical sectors.

The investment bank placed GigaDevice and Sinopec onto the China/HK Focus List and removed Espressif Systems and Sunny Optical from that roster. Separately, GigaDevice was also included on Morgan Stanley's A-share Thematic List. Morgan Stanley's China/HK Focus List now comprises 15 stocks.


GigaDevice (603986.SS)

Morgan Stanley assigned an Overweight rating to the semiconductor company, pointing to multiple growth drivers that underpin the call. The firm projects an 8% undersupply for NOR flash memory in 2026 and expects GigaDevice's NOR quality to strengthen in the automotive segment. On the DRAM side, Morgan Stanley identified potential pricing upside for specialty DRAM products as major memory suppliers exit the DDR4 market, forecasting a 26% undersupply for DDR4 in 2026.

The bank noted that GigaDevice has kept pricing adjustments more disciplined during the current cycle, which could pave the way for pricing expansion starting in the first half of 2026. Morgan Stanley also expects GigaDevice to continue expanding its share in China's microcontroller unit (MCU) market, with automotive MCUs highlighted as a larger opportunity because of relatively low local self-sufficiency in that area.


Sinopec (0386.HK)

Morgan Stanley rated Sinopec Overweight, characterizing the company as a central player in efforts to address overcapacity and competition in China's petrochemical industry. The firm emphasized Sinopec's combination of scalable existing capacity and a substantial pipeline of new capacity, and said capacity decisions made during the 15th Five-Year Plan period are important for the structural recovery of the petrochemicals sector.

On the earnings front, Morgan Stanley expects that losses in Sinopec's chemicals business will narrow in 2026 as certain chemical margins gradually recover and as prior impairment charges are absorbed. The refining segment is expected to gain from recent increases in crude oil prices and from robust regional cracker margins. Based on Morgan Stanley's 2026 earnings forecast, the company’s dividend yield is around 6 percent.


These changes reflect Morgan Stanley's current assessments of supply and demand dynamics in memory and DRAM markets, alongside capacity and margin developments in petrochemicals. The bank's portfolio adjustments replace two names with two others it views as better positioned under its present outlook.

Risks

  • The conclusions for GigaDevice rely on Morgan Stanley's 2026 undersupply forecasts for NOR and DDR4 and on an anticipated improvement in NOR quality for automotive applications - these outcomes are forecast-based and therefore uncertain.
  • Sinopec's recovery thesis depends on capacity decisions made during the 15th Five-Year Plan period and on a gradual rebound in certain chemical margins; both factors introduce execution and market-margin risks for the petrochemical sector.
  • Estimates for refining and chemical performance hinge on crude oil price movements and regional cracker margins, which are variable and could alter the expected financial outcomes projected for 2026.

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