Stock Markets February 13, 2026

Huhtamaki posts modest Q4 beat, driven by strong cash generation

Packaging group outperforms estimates on EBIT and free cash flow as segment-level results show mixed sales trends

By Hana Yamamoto
Huhtamaki posts modest Q4 beat, driven by strong cash generation

Huhtamaki reported a slight fourth-quarter earnings beat with EBIT of €103 million and earnings per share of €0.65, alongside a robust €311 million in free cash flow. Sales declined 2% year-on-year, with volume gains in North America and Fiber, while Foodservice sales fell amid weaker volumes in Western Europe and the UK. Management says trading conditions should remain relatively stable into 2026 and the company retains capacity for acquisitions with leverage below 2x net debt to EBITDA.

Key Points

  • Q4 EBIT of €103 million and EPS of €0.65 beat consensus estimates; free cash flow was strong at €311 million.
  • Sales declined 2% year-on-year, with volume growth in North America and Fiber but a 7% sales decline in Foodservice due to weaker volumes in Western Europe and the UK.
  • Company expects relatively stable trading conditions for 2026, has implemented a segment P&L operating model, and maintains leverage below 2x net debt to EBITDA, leaving room for potential acquisitions.

Packaging manufacturer Huhtamaki delivered a small fourth-quarter outperformance versus analyst expectations and recorded exceptionally strong free cash flow, according to a Jefferies research note published Friday.

Group sales in the quarter were down 2% compared with the prior year, moderating from a 1% decline recorded in the third quarter of 2025 and contrasting with 3% growth in the fourth quarter of 2024. The company reported volume growth in the North America and Fiber segments.

Operating profit for the period, measured as EBIT, reached €103 million, up from €100 million in the third quarter and 3% ahead of the consensus estimate of €100 million. Reported earnings per share were €0.65, compared with analyst expectations of €0.60. Free cash flow for the quarter was strong, at €311 million.


Performance varied across operating divisions. The North America business, which accounts for roughly 39% of group EBIT, produced €43.7 million in EBIT, beating consensus by 7%. Sales in the region were flat as positive volume trends offset a negative price/mix effect.

The Foodservice division, representing about 22% of group EBIT, reported EBIT of €22 million, in line with expectations. However, sales in that segment fell 7%, driven by lower volumes in Western Europe and the UK.

Flexible Packaging, contributing around 27% of group EBIT, outperformed estimates by 12%, delivering €31 million in EBIT, benefiting from lower energy and transport costs. The Fiber segment, about 12% of group EBIT, contributed €15 million versus a €13 million consensus.


Looking ahead, Huhtamaki's guidance for 2026 describes trading conditions as expected to remain relatively stable. The company has rolled out a new operating model that gives each segment full profit-and-loss responsibility. With leverage below 2x net debt to EBITDA, management notes there is capacity for potential acquisitions.

Jefferies retained its Hold rating on Huhtamaki and kept a €34 price target, which the firm says implies about 8% upside. The research note highlighted that the stock trades at 13 times projected 2026 price-to-earnings, below its 10-year average of 15 times, and that a recovery in volumes would be needed to support a valuation re-rating.


The quarter combined a modest operational beat with notable cash generation, while segment results underscored uneven demand dynamics across regions and end markets.

Risks

  • Volume recovery is required to drive a valuation re-rating, indicating vulnerability if volumes do not improve - impacts equity valuation in packaging and related sectors.
  • Continued weak volumes in Foodservice, particularly in Western Europe and the UK, could pressure sales and margins in that end market - affects foodservice packaging demand.
  • Negative price/mix in some regions could offset positive volume trends, constraining revenue growth even where volumes rise - relevant to margins across packaging segments.

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