Stock Markets February 25, 2026

HSBC Raises Profitability Goal After Beating Estimates Despite One-Off Charges

Lender reports lower pretax profit but lifts return-on-equity target as restructuring and Hang Seng deal reshape operations

By Marcus Reed
HSBC Raises Profitability Goal After Beating Estimates Despite One-Off Charges

HSBC reported a 7% fall in pretax profit to $29.9 billion for the year after taking $4.9 billion of one-off charges, but the result exceeded consensus by around $1 billion. The bank raised its return on tangible equity target to 17% or better through 2028, signalling management’s confidence that the bulk of its overhaul is complete. Markets welcomed the beat, but analysts flagged cost assumptions for 2026 and ongoing China-related write-offs as points of scrutiny.

Key Points

  • HSBC's pretax profit fell 7% to $29.9 billion after $4.9 billion of one-off charges, but the result beat consensus by roughly $1 billion - impacting banking and capital markets.
  • Management raised the return on tangible equity target to 17% or better through 2028 from a prior mid-teens target, reflecting confidence in the company's strategic reset.
  • The Hang Seng acquisition is expected to generate $900 million of pretax revenue and cost synergies by end-2028, with about $600 million of associated restructuring costs - relevant to banking operations and integration costs.

HSBC has adjusted a central profitability target upward after publishing annual results that outperformed market expectations even as pretax profit fell. The bank said pretax profit slipped 7% to $29.9 billion last year, weighed down by $4.9 billion of exceptional charges, but that outcome was roughly $1 billion ahead of consensus forecasts.

In announcing the results, Chief Executive Georges Elhedery said the bank took decisive action during the period and is emerging as "a simple, more agile, focused bank built for a fast-changing world." Management highlighted that most elements of its planned overhaul are now complete and that it is positioning the firm for further growth.


Earnings and targets

HSBC is raising its target for return on tangible equity (ROTE), a closely watched profitability metric in banking, to "17% or better" through 2028. That marks an increase from the previous goal of achieving "mid-teens" ROTE for the three years through 2027. The bank reported ROTE of 13.3% for the most recent year.

Following the results, HSBC's Hong Kong-listed shares climbed 2.5%.


One-off charges and China exposure

The $4.9 billion of exceptional items included a $2.1 billion write-off linked to HSBC's holdings in China’s Bank of Communications, a position the lender said had been affected by dilution and the prolonged downturn in China’s property market. That write-down contributed to a sharp fall in pretax profit for the bank's mainland China operations, which tumbled 66% to $1.1 billion.

Other notable non-recurring items included $1.4 billion of legal provisions and $1 billion of restructuring and related costs.


Strategic overhaul and cost discipline

Elhedery, a long-serving HSBC executive who has led the bank for about one and a half years, has driven a strategic reorientation of the group. His programme of change reorganised the bank’s operating structure along East-West lines, removed sub-scale investment banking units in the U.S. and Europe, and reduced the number of senior managers. Management recorded 11 business exits across global operations during the year.

Those moves coincided with a sharp rebound in investor sentiment: HSBC's London-listed stock rose about 50% in 2025 and added another 10% year-to-date, bringing market capitalisation to roughly $300 billion.


Hang Seng integration and expected synergies

Last year HSBC took Hang Seng Bank private in a transaction valued at $13.7 billion. The bank told investors it expects the combined operations to deliver $900 million of pretax revenue and cost synergies by the end of 2028, while incurring around $600 million of restructuring charges related to the integration.


Dividends, pay and investor focus

HSBC proposed a final dividend of 45 cents per share, adding to an earlier 30 cents paid during the year. The total for the year therefore falls short of the 87 cents distributed in 2024. Elhedery’s total remuneration for 2025 was 6.6 million pounds ($8.9 million), an 18% increase from the prior year. The results release included the exchange conversion used for that figure: $1 = 0.7395 pounds.

Analysts at Jefferies noted that while the stronger-than-expected results should be well received by investors, some may question HSBC’s plan for costs to rise by only 1% in 2026, given the competitive environment and the bank’s need to invest in technology and capabilities.


Investor tools and screening

Investment services that evaluate individual stocks have highlighted HSBC as part of broader screening processes tracking fundamentals, momentum and valuation. Such services use many metrics to compare HSBC to thousands of other companies when assessing risk and reward.

Overall, HSBC’s results reflect a mixed picture: the headline profit number fell year-on-year due to several large, one-off items, yet the group beat analyst expectations, raised profitability targets and laid out how recent strategic moves - including the Hang Seng deal - should lift future returns.

Risks

  • The bank took significant one-off charges tied to China exposure, including a $2.1 billion write-off on Bank of Communications holdings and a 66% slump in mainland China pretax profit to $1.1 billion - posing risk to Asia-focused banking operations.
  • Analysts flagged HSBC's projection of only a 1% rise in costs for 2026 as potentially optimistic given competitive pressures and the need to invest in technology and capabilities, which could affect the bank's cost base and capital allocation.
  • Planned restructuring and integration carry costs - the Hang Seng tie-up includes about $600 million of restructuring charges - which could weigh on near-term earnings and cash flow in the banking sector.

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