Stock Markets February 13, 2026

Homebuilder Stocks Jump After Soft Inflation Read, Fed Cut Expectations Rise

S&P 1500 Homebuilding Index climbs as Treasury yields fall; several builders post double-digit and mid-single-digit gains

By Sofia Navarro KBH
Homebuilder Stocks Jump After Soft Inflation Read, Fed Cut Expectations Rise
KBH

Homebuilder equities advanced Friday following cooler-than-expected inflation data, which lifted hopes for Federal Reserve interest-rate reductions and pushed the 10-year Treasury yield lower. The S&P 1500 Homebuilding Index rose roughly 2.1% as most constituents traded higher. Individual movers included Taylor Morrison, Meritage, Century Communities, KB Home and LGI Homes. Separately, Tri Pointe Homes spiked after Sumitomo Forestry disclosed plans to buy the U.S. builder for about $4.28 billion.

Key Points

  • Softer inflation data raised expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts, putting downward pressure on the 10-year Treasury yield and supporting gains in homebuilder stocks.
  • The S&P 1500 Homebuilding Index rose about 2.1%, with most members trading higher; Taylor Morrison and Meritage were among the largest gainers.
  • A separate corporate development - Sumitomo Forestry's plan to acquire Tri Pointe Homes for about $4.28 billion - drove Tri Pointe shares sharply higher, highlighting M&A activity in the sector.

Homebuilder stocks moved higher on Friday after inflation readings came in modest, increasing investor expectations that the Federal Reserve may move toward cutting interest rates. The softer inflation backdrop corresponded with a decline in the 10-year Treasury yield and a broad uptick across the homebuilding complex.

The S&P 1500 Homebuilding Index gained about 2.1% on the session, with the majority of index members trading in positive territory. Among the leading individual performers, Taylor Morrison Home Corp rose 6.3%, while Meritage Homes Corp added 5.5%.

Other notable advances included Century Communities Inc, which climbed 5%, KB Home, up 3.9%, and LGI Homes Inc, which increased 3.1%. These moves reflected broad investor interest in builders amid a market environment where lower long-term yields can improve affordability dynamics and investor sentiment toward interest-rate-sensitive sectors.

In a separate development, Tri Pointe Homes shares surged as much as 27% after Japan's Sumitomo Forestry announced plans to acquire the U.S.-based homebuilder for approximately $4.28 billion. The announcement produced a distinct, outsized reaction in Tri Pointe's share price relative to its peers.

Market participants focused on the interaction between incoming inflation data and monetary policy expectations, with that relationship influencing benchmark Treasury yields and driving sector-level performance in housing-related equities. The session's price action left most homebuilders with gains on the day and highlighted the sensitivity of the sector to changes in rate expectations.


Market snapshot

  • S&P 1500 Homebuilding Index: +~2.1%
  • Taylor Morrison Home Corp: +6.3%
  • Meritage Homes Corp: +5.5%
  • Century Communities Inc: +5%
  • KB Home: +3.9%
  • LGI Homes Inc: +3.1%
  • Tri Pointe Homes: up to +27% (following acquisition announcement)

The session underscored how macroeconomic releases can alter rate expectations and quickly feed into equity moves within the housing sector and related rate-sensitive areas of the market.

Risks

  • Future inflation releases or shifts in monetary policy expectations could reverse recent moves in bond yields and equity sentiment, affecting homebuilder valuations - impacts concentrated in the homebuilding and fixed-income-sensitive sectors.
  • Market reactions to corporate announcements can be volatile; the sizable jump in Tri Pointe Homes' shares following the acquisition plan illustrates deal-driven price swings that can affect investor returns in the industry.

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