Stock Markets February 27, 2026

Hercules Capital Shares Slide After Short Report Targets Software Loan Marks and Dividend Coverage

Hunterbrook raises questions on software debt valuations, PIK income trends and cash payout sustainability; Hercules disputes the findings

By Derek Hwang HTGC
Hercules Capital Shares Slide After Short Report Targets Software Loan Marks and Dividend Coverage
HTGC

Hercules Capital (NYSE:HTGC) saw its stock fall about 7% on Friday after a short report from Hunterbrook criticized the valuation of software-related loans in the business development company’s portfolio and raised doubts over the sustainability of its dividend. The report cites concentrated exposure to software debt, rising payment-in-kind (PIK) receivables, and a divergence between reported net investment income and cash coverage of distributions. Hercules provided a written rebuttal defending its valuation process and dividend coverage.

Key Points

  • Hunterbrook's report claims approximately 35% of Hercules' loan portfolio - about $1.5 billion - is exposed to software debt that Hercules marks at 100 cents on the dollar.
  • PIK income reported by Hercules rose to $55.9 million in 2025 while cash collected on PIK loans fell 73% year-over-year to $4.9 million; outstanding PIK receivables nearly tripled to $109.1 million.
  • Hunterbrook says full-year net investment income of $1.91 per share covers the $1.60 base distribution at 119%, but on a cash basis the coverage is 105.7%; Hercules disputes the critique and defends its valuation and governance processes.

Hercules Capital's shares dropped roughly 7% on Friday following the publication of a short report by Hunterbrook that challenged several aspects of the business development company's financial reporting and dividend coverage.

Hunterbrook's analysis singled out Hercules' concentration in software-related loans, estimating that about 35% of the company's loan book - roughly $1.5 billion - is tied to software debt. The short seller said Hercules continues to mark that exposure at 100 cents on the dollar, even as, according to the report, billions of dollars of similar software debt across the sector have moved into distressed territory. Hunterbrook disclosed its positions in the report, saying it is short HTGC and long a basket of comparable securities.

The report also focused on trends in Hercules' payment-in-kind, or PIK, loan activity. Hunterbrook noted that reported income from PIK loans rose to $55.9 million in 2025, roughly double prior levels, while actual cash collections on PIK loans fell sharply - down 73% year-over-year to $4.9 million. PIK instruments permit borrowers to satisfy interest obligations by adding to the loan balance rather than making cash interest payments. At the same time, the report said outstanding PIK receivables at Hercules nearly tripled to $109.1 million.

On the topic of dividend coverage, Hunterbrook compared full-year net investment income and the components of Hercules’ distribution. The firm calculated full-year net investment income at $1.91 per share, which covers the company’s $1.60 base distribution at 119%. Hunterbrook noted, however, that Hercules also pays a $0.28 supplemental distribution that is drawn from past earnings. When assessed on a cash basis, the report said the base distribution is covered at only 105.7%.

Hunterbrook additionally questioned Hercules’ reported cumulative net realized loss rate of 3 basis points. The short seller described that metric as netting equity and warrant gains from exits against loan losses, and said it could not identify other major BDCs applying that same methodology.

Hercules responded in writing, defending its practices and figures. The company said its portfolio valuations as of December 31, 2025, do not reflect market volatility that began in 2026. Hercules also stated that its PIK exposure is at the median level among similarly sized business development companies, and that its base dividend coverage of 119% ranks among the highest in the industry. The firm emphasized that its valuations process is rigorous, citing PwC audits, SOX compliance, and oversight by its board.

Investors reacted to the dispute between the short seller and Hercules with a fall in the stock, while the company reiterated confidence in its governance and accounting procedures. The exchange highlights the scrutiny around valuation practices for sector-concentrated loan portfolios and the difference between accrual-based income measures and cash receipts when assessing dividend sustainability.


Clear summary: A short report by Hunterbrook criticized Hercules Capital's marking of software loans, rising PIK receivables and the cash basis coverage of its dividend, prompting a roughly 7% drop in the stock. Hercules rebutted the report, defending its valuation process, PIK exposure level and dividend coverage.

Risks

  • Concentration risk in software-related loans could lead to valuation pressure if sector-specific loans experience distress, affecting creditors and BDC investors.
  • Rising PIK receivables and lower cash collections may weaken cash flow available for distributions, creating potential pressure on dividend sustainability for income-focused investors and the broader BDC sector.
  • Use of net realized loss accounting that offsets loan losses with gains from equity or warrant exits could obscure underlying loan performance, raising transparency and comparability concerns across peer BDCs.

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