Stock Markets March 12, 2026

Helios Towers Tops Fourth-Quarter Targets and Raises 2026 Capex Outlook

Telecom tower operator reports stronger-than-expected Q4 results and boosts discretionary investment as customer demand holds steady

By Marcus Reed
Helios Towers Tops Fourth-Quarter Targets and Raises 2026 Capex Outlook

Helios Towers reported fourth-quarter results that outperformed expectations across new tenancy additions, EBITDA and recurring free cash flow. The company posted full-year free cash flow of about $66 million on a last-12-months basis, raised its 2026 discretionary capex outlook and set guidance for tenancy growth, adjusted EBITDA and recurring free cash flow while announcing a planned $51 million share buyback and a $25 million dividend for the fiscal year.

Key Points

  • Helios reported 5.9% revenue growth in Q4 and 15% year-over-year EBITDA growth, with recurring free cash flow up 2.4% in the quarter - sectors impacted: telecom infrastructure and capital markets.
  • Full-year 2025 free cash flow was about $66 million on an LTM basis, a 249% year-over-year increase; the company exceeded EBITDA and recurring free cash flow consensus estimates - sectors impacted: investor returns and corporate finance.
  • 2026 guidance targets organic net tenancy additions of 2,000-2,500, adjusted EBITDA of $510-525 million, discretionary capex of $110-140 million, recurring free cash flow of $210-225 million, and includes a $51 million buyback and $25 million dividend - sectors impacted: telecommunications, infrastructure investment, and equity markets.

Helios Towers Plc delivered fourth-quarter results that exceeded market expectations across several operational and financial measures, the company said in its most recent trading update. Revenue rose 5.9% year-over-year in the quarter, while EBITDA increased 15% from the prior year. Recurring free cash flow was also higher, growing 2.4% during the period.

On a trailing 12-month basis the company generated roughly $66 million of free cash flow for fiscal 2025, a 249% increase year-over-year. Management outperformed consensus on multiple metrics, beating EBITDA estimates by about 40 basis points and surpassing recurring free cash flow forecasts by roughly 17%.

Operationally, Helios added a total of 413 tenancies in the quarter - comprising 125 new sites and 288 colocations - lifting its tenancy ratio to 2.2 times for fiscal 2025, an increase of 0.1 times compared with the prior year. Return on invested capital for the year reached 13.5%.

Looking to fiscal 2026, the company provided forward guidance that targets organic net tenancy additions in the range of 2,000 to 2,500, set against a company consensus point of 2,301. Adjusted EBITDA is guided to $510 million to $525 million, compared with consensus estimates of $520.3 million.

Helios outlined discretionary capital expenditure of $110 million to $140 million for 2026, with a midpoint of $125 million. The company said this capex projection represents an increase from consensus expectations of $162.2 million for total capex. Jefferies noted that the higher capex projection reflects ongoing strong customer demand and that the investment supports the company’s growth forecasts.

Recurring free cash flow guidance for 2026 is set at $210 million to $225 million, versus consensus of $207.1 million.

On capital allocation, Helios plans to execute a $51 million share buyback in 2026, representing the remaining balance of a previously announced $75 million program. The company also guided to a fiscal year dividend of $25 million.


The update shows Helios continuing to expand tenancy and generate improving cash returns while increasing discretionary investment to support demand. The company’s guidance balances growth-oriented capex with shareholder distributions through buybacks and dividends.

Risks

  • Capex and guidance variance - The company set discretionary capex at $110-140 million (midpoint $125 million) and the update notes this represents an increase from consensus expectations of $162.2 million for total capex; differences between company guidance and consensus create uncertainty for capital markets and infrastructure investors.
  • Execution risk on capital returns - Helios plans a $51 million share buyback in 2026 and a $25 million dividend for the fiscal year; the realization of these shareholder returns depends on the company’s ability to deliver on cash flow guidance and execute the planned buyback - sectors impacted: equity investors and corporate finance.
  • Demand-dependency for growth - Jefferies highlighted that higher capex reflects continued strong customer demand; if customer demand softens, the company’s growth forecasts and capex rationale could face pressure - sectors impacted: telecom operators and infrastructure services.

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