Stock Markets February 12, 2026

Gold Pulls Back After Strong U.S. Jobs Data Weakens Near-Term Rate Cut Prospects

Robust U.S. employment figures weigh on bullion and hit global miners despite lingering geopolitical support

By Hana Yamamoto NEM GOLD ABX GFI
Gold Pulls Back After Strong U.S. Jobs Data Weakens Near-Term Rate Cut Prospects
NEM GOLD ABX GFI

Gold prices retreated after U.S. labor market data signaled ongoing economic strength, reducing expectations for imminent Federal Reserve interest rate cuts that typically bolster non-yielding assets. The dip in bullion prices pressured miners listed in the United States, South Africa and Canada, with several major producers posting declines.

Key Points

  • Spot gold dropped 0.4% to $5,059.87 per ounce after robust U.S. labor data reduced near-term rate cut expectations.
  • U.S.-listed miners Newmont (NEM) and Barrick Gold (GOLD / ABX) fell, with Barrick down 1.3%; South African and Canadian producers also declined.
  • Geopolitical tensions between the United States and Iran provided support for gold but were outweighed by stronger economic indicators.

Gold prices slipped on Thursday as a firm set of U.S. employment figures dampened hopes for near-term interest rate reductions by the Federal Reserve. The stronger labor-market readout outweighed continued support for the metal from geopolitical tensions between the United States and Iran.

Spot gold (XAU=) fell 0.4% to $5,059.87 per ounce.

The pullback in bullion translated into losses for mining equities across multiple markets. In the United States, Newmont (NEM) edged down marginally, while Barrick Gold (GOLD / ABX) retreated 1.3%.

South African miners were not spared: Gold Fields (GFI / GFIJ) dropped 1.5%, and fellow operators Sibanye Stillwater (SBSW / SSWJ) and Harmony Gold (HMY / HARJ) each registered marginal declines.

Canadian producers also saw softer trading, with Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM) moving slightly lower and Kinross Gold (K) declining 1.2%.

Market participants interpreted the employment data as evidence that the U.S. economy remains resilient, thereby lowering the probability of nearby Fed rate cuts. That shift in expectations removed a commonly cited tailwind for gold, which does not yield interest and often enjoys higher demand when real rates fall or rate-cut expectations rise.

At the same time, the report noted that ongoing tensions between the United States and Iran continue to provide a measure of underlying support for the precious metal. However, on balance the stronger labor-market signals were sufficient to push prices lower on the day.


Market context and implications

  • Stronger U.S. labor data reduced the near-term likelihood of Fed rate cuts, a key factor pressuring non-yielding assets such as gold.
  • The decline in bullion prices transmitted into equity moves across major mining jurisdictions - U.S., South Africa and Canada - with both large-cap and regional operators affected.
  • Geopolitical tensions remain a supporting factor for gold, but in this instance they were insufficient to offset the impact of the economic news.

Summary

The gold market fell after U.S. employment numbers pointed to sustained economic strength, undermining expectations for imminent Fed rate reductions. Spot gold moved lower and a range of miners from the U.S., South Africa and Canada experienced share-price declines. Geopolitical concerns continued to offer some support to the metal but did not prevent the overall retreat.

Risks

  • Continued strength in the U.S. labor market could further delay expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts, pressuring non-yielding assets such as gold - impacting precious metals and mining equities.
  • Persisting geopolitical tensions may intermittently support safe-haven demand for gold, creating volatility for precious-metals markets and mining stocks.
  • Equity exposure to mining companies in different jurisdictions (U.S., South Africa, Canada) faces correlated downside when bullion prices retreat, posing sector-wide risks.

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