Stock Markets March 4, 2026

GitLab Stock Slides After Fy2027 Earnings Forecast Misses Street Estimates

Premarket shares drop as company issues subdued adjusted EPS guidance and brokers trim targets

By Derek Hwang GTLB
GitLab Stock Slides After Fy2027 Earnings Forecast Misses Street Estimates
GTLB

GitLab's stock fell sharply in premarket trade after management provided fiscal 2027 adjusted EPS guidance that fell below analyst expectations. The shortfall prompted multiple brokerages to lower price targets, while at least one firm flagged the need for GitLab to clarify its competitive stance amid rapid AI developments in software creation.

Key Points

  • GitLab provided fiscal 2027 adjusted EPS guidance of $0.76 to $0.80, below analyst estimates of $1.05 per LSEG data.
  • Shares fell 8.8% to $24.35 in premarket trading following the guidance release.
  • At least five brokerages reduced price targets after the company issued its fiscal 2027 outlook, and TD Cowen noted the company needs time to confirm its competitive position amid rapid AI-driven changes in development tools.

GitLab Inc. (NASDAQ:GTLB) saw its shares decline in early trading on Wednesday, dropping 8.8% to $24.35 in the premarket session after the software development company released an earnings outlook for fiscal year 2027 that did not meet Wall Street consensus.

The company issued guidance for adjusted earnings per share in a range of $0.76 to $0.80 for fiscal 2027. That projection fell short of analyst expectations, which stood at $1.05, based on data compiled by LSEG.

In the wake of the guidance, at least five brokerages moved to lower their price targets on the stock. The downward revisions reflect market reassessment of GitLab's near-term profit trajectory following the guidance miss.

Analysts at TD Cowen, in a post-results note, emphasized that growth in software creation should underpin demand for DevSecOps tools broadly, but said GitLab will need time to prove out its competitive positioning. The TD Cowen team highlighted the rapid evolution of artificial intelligence technologies in the development ecosystem and the emergence of AI-native threats as dynamics that require the company to establish its strength in what they described as the AI 2.0 era.

The company's guidance and the subsequent analyst reactions underscore investor focus on how quickly software-tool vendors can adapt to shifting technological and competitive conditions. While increased activity in software creation may support demand for products that integrate security, development, and operations workflows, GitLab's financial outlook left analysts and investors seeking clearer evidence of the company's ability to translate that market opportunity into higher earnings per share.


Market reaction - The stock's premarket move reflected investor reassessment following the earnings guide. Brokerages responding to the guidance cut price targets, signaling lowered near-term expectations for GitLab's valuation.

Analyst view - TD Cowen's commentary framed the company's path forward as contingent on demonstrating competitive resilience amid fast-moving AI developments in the software development space.

Outlook considerations - The guidance shortfall and subsequent target reductions point to continued scrutiny of GitLab's ability to capture demand as development practices and AI-related threats evolve.

Risks

  • Guidance risk - The company's fiscal 2027 adjusted EPS projection came in below consensus, creating downside risk for near-term investor expectations and valuation.
  • Competitive and technological risk - Rapid evolution in artificial intelligence within development environments and the rise of AI-native threats could pressure GitLab to prove its competitive positioning in the AI 2.0 era.
  • Analyst reaction risk - Multiple brokerages lowering price targets signals the risk of further downward revisions to market forecasts and investor sentiment.

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