Stock Markets February 11, 2026

Gecina posts solid FY-2025 results and keeps modest growth guidance for 2026

Recurring net income rises, portfolio values improve while selective locations show weakness; dividend edged up but below forecasts

By Hana Yamamoto
Gecina posts solid FY-2025 results and keeps modest growth guidance for 2026

Gecina reported a resilient set of full-year 2025 results, with recurring net income of €494.5 million, recurring EPS in line with guidance, and like-for-like portfolio value gains. The company maintained a cautious growth range for 2026 EPS and proposed a slightly higher dividend, while flagging pockets of value weakness outside core central offices.

Key Points

  • Recurring net income for FY-2025 was €494.5 million, up 4.2% year-over-year; recurring EPS was €6.68 within guidance.
  • Like-for-like portfolio value increased 2.3%, ahead of analyst expectations; central office assets were the strongest performers with a 4.6% rise.
  • Operational metrics improved - rental margin rose to 92.7% and average financial occupancy reached 94.1% - while dividend proposed at €5.50 per share was 1% higher year-over-year but 3% below analyst forecasts.

Results at a glance

Gecina posted recurring net income of €494.5 million for fiscal year 2025, an increase of 4.2% compared with the prior year and in line with the company's guidance and analyst expectations. Recurring earnings per share came in at €6.68, squarely within the guided range of €6.65 to €6.70.

Outlook for 2026

For 2026 the company reiterated a narrow progression, forecasting recurring net income per share of €6.70 to €6.75, which equates to growth of approximately 0.3% to 1.0% compared with the reported 2025 EPS.

Revenue and rental performance

Gross rental income for the year reached €712.6 million, up 2.6% year-over-year. Like-for-like rental growth was reported at 3.8%, comprised of a 2.6% indexation effect and a 0.6% contribution from rental reversion.

Portfolio valuation and asset performance

On a like-for-like basis, Gecina's portfolio value rose 2.3%, ahead of analyst expectations of 1.5%. Central office assets posted stronger gains, with values in central areas up 4.6% year-over-year. However, value trends were mixed across other locations: Core Western Crescent assets declined 1.2%, La Défense values were down 4.8%, and other locations fell 7.1%.

Operating metrics and balance sheet items

The company's rental margin improved by 70 basis points to 92.7% year-over-year, and average financial occupancy increased by 70 basis points to 94.1%. Gecina proposed a dividend of €5.50 per share, a 1% increase versus the prior year but 3% below analyst forecasts.

Gecina's EPRA Net Tangible Asset value per share rose by 0.9% to €144.1, a figure described as slightly under analyst expectations. The loan-to-value ratio increased by 70 basis points to 38.3% over the period.

Asset disposals and LTV impact

The company secured residential disposals amounting to €0.2 billion, yielding 2.9%, which are expected to close in the first quarter of 2026. Management indicated these transactions should reduce the loan-to-value ratio by roughly 80 basis points once completed.

Pipeline and longer-term rent expectations

Looking further ahead, Gecina reiterated its expectation that its project pipeline will generate €80-90 million in annualized rents beyond 2027, including about €30 million of annual rents attributable to the T1 tower.

Takeaway

The 2025 results show modest year-on-year earnings growth, steady operational metrics and selective portfolio value appreciation, while certain non-core areas registered declines. The company maintained a narrow growth outlook for 2026 EPS and proposed a slightly higher dividend that trails analyst forecasts.


Risks

  • Concentration of value weakness in certain non-core locations - Core Western Crescent (-1.2%), La Défense (-4.8%), and other locations (-7.1%) - could weigh on overall portfolio valuations and returns; this impacts the commercial real estate and office sectors.
  • Loan-to-value increased to 38.3%, exposing balance-sheet leverage to potential market and financing volatility; this is a risk for credit-sensitive stakeholders and the broader real estate financing market.
  • Dividend was proposed below analyst expectations and EPRA NTA per share came in slightly under forecasts, which could affect investor sentiment in listed real estate securities.

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