Stock Markets March 2, 2026

Futures Drop as Middle East Escalation Drives Risk-Off; Energy, Defense and Travel Stocks See Sharp Moves

Premarket trading reflects investor flight to safety after regional hostilities intensify, with oil and defense names rallying while travel and tech-related stocks fall

By Avery Klein PSKY WBD AMZN NCLH
Futures Drop as Middle East Escalation Drives Risk-Off; Energy, Defense and Travel Stocks See Sharp Moves
PSKY WBD AMZN NCLH

U.S. stock futures opened lower as a widening conflict in the Middle East prompted traders to abandon risk assets. Energy and defense equities rallied on higher crude and military-related demand, while leisure, airlines and select tech names fell amid operational disruptions and earnings pressures. A number of individual companies recorded notable premarket moves tied to earnings, operational incidents, and guidance.

Key Points

  • Geopolitical escalation in the Middle East drove a risk-off move in U.S. futures, prompting a rotation into energy, defense and safe-haven assets.
  • Company-specific developments influenced major premarket moves: Berkshire Hathaway's quarterly operating profit decline, Amazon Web Services' data center disruption in the UAE, and Uniqure's regulatory setback.
  • Sectors most affected include energy (XOM, CVX), defense (LMT), travel and leisure (NCLH, airlines), and technology/infrastructure services (AMZN).

U.S. equity futures opened the week on the back foot as investors reacted to an intensifying conflict in the Middle East and shifted away from higher-risk positions at the outset of a busy trading week.


Several notable premarket movers reflected a market split between sectors viewed as havens or beneficiaries of geopolitical stress and those exposed to travel disruption, operational shocks, or weaker earnings trends.

Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE:BRKb) shares dropped 1.3% in premarket action after the conglomerate disclosed a nearly 30% decline in fourth-quarter operating profit from a year earlier, with insurance underwriting identified as a drag on results.

Paramount Skydance (NASDAQ:PSKY) advanced 5.2% after a joint statement from Warner Bros Discovery (NASDAQ:WBD) following the market close on Friday announced the two companies had signed a definitive merger agreement.

Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) shares fell 2.4% after Amazon Web Services reported it was addressing a disruption in the United Arab Emirates. The issue followed an incident in which unidentified "objects" struck one of its data centers, causing a fire and a power outage.

Norwegian Cruise Line (NYSE:NCLH) plunged 7% after management projected full-year profit below analysts' expectations, citing steep costs that offset durable demand for premium sea vacations.

Energy majors rallied sharply on the back of higher crude prices tied to the regional escalation. Exxon Mobil (NYSE:XOM) climbed 4.7% while Chevron (NYSE:CVX) added 3.9%, as oil market participants reacted to the heightened geopolitical risk.

Defense names drew buying interest amid reports of broader U.S.-Israel military action against Iran over the weekend, boosting Lockheed Martin (NYSE:LMT) by 5.4% in premarket trading.

Precious metals also benefitted from safe-haven flows. Harmony Gold Mining (NYSE:HMY) rose 1.6% as gold prices climbed in response to the conflict escalation.

Airlines posted steep losses, reflecting operational disruption and regional flight impacts related to U.S. and Israeli military actions. American Airlines (BMV:AAL), Delta Air Lines (NYSE:DAL) and United Airlines (NASDAQ:UAL) each fell by more than 4% in early trading.

Biotech Uniqure (NASDAQ:QURE) saw a dramatic 37% decline after disclosing that the U.S. Food and Drug Administration rejected its proposed regulatory pathway for an investigational gene therapy targeting Huntington's disease.


The premarket landscape highlights the market's sensitivity to geopolitical developments and company-specific news alike. Energy and defense stocks jumped on perceived demand and price effects, while travel-related and certain tech-exposed names were punished for cost pressures or operational interruptions.

Risks

  • Ongoing military operations in the Middle East could further increase crude prices and volatility, affecting energy markets and related equities - impacting the energy sector and broader market sentiment.
  • Regional military activity has disrupted flights and operations, creating downside risk for airline and travel operators relying on stable air corridors - affecting airlines and leisure sectors.
  • Regulatory setbacks and operational incidents can produce sharp, company-specific share price reactions, as illustrated by Uniqure's FDA rejection and AWS data-center damage - impacting biotech and cloud infrastructure exposure.

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