Stock Markets March 2, 2026

European Markets Slide as Middle East Hostilities Escalate; Oil Surges

Risk appetite retreats after U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran and subsequent regional reprisals, sending equities lower and crude sharply higher

By Leila Farooq SN
European Markets Slide as Middle East Hostilities Escalate; Oil Surges
SN

European equities tumbled Monday following weekend military action by the United States and Israel against Iran and Iran's retaliatory strikes, while oil prices spiked on disruptions around the Strait of Hormuz. Major continental indices opened markedly lower, corporate results offered mixed signals, and economic data from Germany and the U.K. added to the market backdrop.

Key Points

  • Major European indices opened sharply lower after weekend military strikes by the U.S. and Israel on Iran and Iran's subsequent retaliatory attacks.
  • Corporate earnings were mixed: Smith & Nephew posted a 15.5% rise in annual profit, Bunzl reported a 9.8% drop in adjusted pretax profit, and Galp Energia highlighted strong 2025 operational performance despite weaker oil prices.
  • Oil prices surged after damage to three tankers in the Strait of Hormuz, with Brent up 9.6% to $79.85 and WTI up 9.3% to $73.22, exacerbating supply concerns for major importers.

European stock markets declined sharply on Monday as investors reacted to renewed military confrontation in the Middle East. At 03:05 ET (08:05 GMT), Germany's DAX was down 2.5%, France's CAC 40 had slipped 2.1% and the U.K.'s FTSE 100 had fallen 0.8%.

The drop in risk appetite was felt across global markets after the United States and Israel carried out wide-ranging attacks on Iran over the weekend, an escalation that reportedly killed several top officials, including Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. Iran struck back with attacks across several Middle Eastern states and against U.S. bases in the region.

U.S. President Donald Trump warned overnight that U.S. and Israeli military operations would continue and suggested the campaign could last several weeks. Iran's top security official Ali Larijani hardened Tehran's stance in a post on X on Monday, saying, "We will not negotiate with the United States," a position that followed late-week discussions in which Iran had reportedly explored the possibility of a nuclear deal with Washington.


Markets had been riding a long run of gains prior to the weekend's events. Equities closed at a record high on Friday and extended a run that marked eight consecutive months of gains for some benchmarks. The pan-European STOXX 600 had just completed its longest monthly winning streak since 2012-2013.

With quarterly earnings season winding down, a handful of corporate updates were still in investors' hands on Monday, but the overall market tone shifted sharply toward risk-off.

  • Smith & Nephew (SN) reported a 15.5% rise in annual profit, with the British medical products maker citing progress on its turnaround plans that delivered cost savings and improved growth across divisions.
  • Bunzl (BNZL) recorded a 9.8% decline in annual adjusted pretax profit, attributing the fall to weaker trading conditions in its key North American business supplies division and tariff-related disruptions to its supply chain.
  • Galp Energia (GALP) said it delivered a strong operational performance in 2025, benefiting from robust cash generation and a solid balance sheet despite an environment of weaker oil prices.

On the economic front, German retail sales dropped more than economists had expected in January, falling 0.9% from the prior month against a consensus forecast for a 0.2% fall. In the U.K., Nationwide Building Society reported that British house prices rose 0.3% in February, leaving them 1.0% higher than a year earlier.

Later in the session, markets were set to receive the final reading of the Eurozone manufacturing PMI for February, which was expected to confirm that the sector had moved back into expansionary territory in the month.


Energy markets reacted strongly to the surge in regional tensions. Brent crude futures jumped 9.6% to $79.85 a barrel, marking a peak not seen since January 2025. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude rose 9.3% to $73.22 a barrel, reaching its highest level since June.

The sharp rise in oil prices followed reports that three tankers were damaged while transiting the Strait of Hormuz, a vital maritime chokepoint that links the Gulf with the Arabian Sea. Normally, vessels carrying oil equal to roughly one-fifth of global demand from Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Iraq, Iran and Kuwait pass through the Strait each day.

Market participants noted that a prolonged effective closure of the Strait would likely push oil prices still higher and create supply shortages for major importers such as China and India.

In sum, the combination of renewed military activity in the Middle East, concerns about further escalation and disrupted shipping through a critical oil artery pushed investors toward safer assets and sent energy prices up sharply, while corporate news and mixed economic data provided a further layer of uncertainty for markets heading into the rest of the week.

Risks

  • Further escalation of hostilities could maintain or deepen equity market weakness and sustain elevated oil prices, affecting energy and transportation sectors.
  • Disruptions to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz pose a risk of tighter global oil supply and higher costs for importers, particularly impacting energy-importing countries and industries reliant on fuel.
  • Economic momentum in Europe could be undermined by geopolitical uncertainty and weaker domestic demand, as signaled by the larger-than-expected drop in German retail sales and mixed corporate results.

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