Stock Markets February 16, 2026

European Equities Tick Up as Earnings Momentum Offsets Holiday-Thinned Trading

Miners take center stage this week as corporate results beat forecasts while markets operate in a holiday-reduced environment

By Priya Menon RIO AAL
European Equities Tick Up as Earnings Momentum Offsets Holiday-Thinned Trading
RIO AAL

European stocks advanced modestly on Monday amid a broadly constructive earnings season, even as trading volumes were muted because of holidays in Asia and the United States. Key indexes in Germany, France and the U.K. rose, while miners and scheduled corporate reports dominated the week’s market focus. Economic and geopolitical developments, including Eurozone industrial production data and renewed U.S.-Iran talks, also shaped investor attention.

Key Points

  • European indexes rose modestly on Monday with the DAX up 0.4%, CAC 40 up 0.2% and FTSE 100 up 0.2% at 03:02 ET (08:02 GMT).
  • Companies covering 57% of Europe’s market capitalization have reported fourth-quarter results, showing average earnings growth of 3.9%, beating expectations for a 1.1% contraction; 60% of firms have beaten earnings estimates versus a typical 54%.
  • This week’s corporate calendar highlights include results from major miners Rio Tinto, Glencore, Anglo American and Antofagasta, as well as Volkswagen and U.S. retailer Walmart; Eurozone industrial production data and U.K. asking price data are also scheduled.

European share benchmarks made small gains on Monday as a generally positive cycle of corporate reporting supported sentiment, though activity remained subdued with major holidays curbing turnover.

At 03:02 ET (08:02 GMT), Germany's DAX climbed 0.4%, France's CAC 40 added 0.2% and the U.K.'s FTSE 100 was up 0.2%.


Quiet market conditions amid holidays

The start of the week coincided with the Lunar New Year in much of Asia and George Washington's birthday in the United States, contributing to a softer trading backdrop. Despite the quieter environment, corporate results across Europe have generally been favorable, helping underpin prices.

Data from LSEG show that firms representing 57% of Europe’s market capitalization have reported results so far for the fourth quarter, posting average earnings growth of 3.9%. That outcome exceeds expectations for the quarter as a whole, where consensus pointed to a contraction of 1.1%.

Beat rates have also been stronger than normal: 60% of European companies that reported have topped analyst estimates, versus a typical beat rate of 54% in a standard quarter.


Corporate calendar and company headlines

Monday was relatively light for earnings releases, but attention this week will center on results from Europe’s four largest mining companies - Rio Tinto (RIO), Glencore (GLEN), Anglo American (AAL) and Antofagasta (ANTO) - as metals markets have recently pushed to higher price levels.

Volkswagen (VOWG) is another name in focus after a report in Manager Magazin cited plans by the German automaker to reduce costs by 20% across all brands by the end of 2028, a development that market participants will parse for implications on profitability and restructuring timelines.

Across the Atlantic, investors are watching Walmart (WMT), which will post quarterly results on Thursday and provide updated evidence on U.S. consumer spending through the holiday season and into the new year.


Economic releases and regional data

On the data front, Eurozone industrial production for December is the principal release in Europe on Monday, with expectations for a monthly contraction of 1.5%.

In the U.K. housing market, asking prices were effectively unchanged in February. The average asking price for newly listed properties fell by £12 to reach £368,019, following a 2.8% jump in January, according to Rightmove.

Japan’s growth figures, released earlier in the session, disappointed. Gross domestic product expanded by just 0.2% on an annualised basis in the December quarter, substantially below forecasts of 1.6%. The print showed minimal improvement following a steep contraction in the third quarter, a picture that the report said could strengthen the case for aggressive fiscal stimulus under Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi.


Energy markets and geopolitics

Oil markets were steady on Monday amid the holiday-thinned trading. Brent futures eased 0.1% to $67.66 a barrel and U.S. West Texas Intermediate fell 0.1% to $62.68 a barrel.

Both contracts had declined between 0.5% and 1% the previous week after comments from U.S. President Donald Trump suggesting Washington could strike a deal with Tehran within a month. The two countries are scheduled to hold a second round of talks in Geneva on Tuesday, renewing negotiations focused on long-running issues tied to Tehran’s nuclear program.


Overall, markets entered the week with a positive tilt driven by earnings outperformance, while attention remained on a short list of corporate reports and economic releases that will likely set the near-term tone. With trading volumes constrained by holidays in major markets, individual company announcements and scheduled data are primed to exert outsized influence on moves in European equities.

Risks

  • Holiday-reduced trading volumes in Asia and the U.S. may lead to muted liquidity and potentially larger price moves on company-specific news or data releases - this affects equity and commodity markets.
  • Economic indicators such as expected Eurozone industrial production contraction and weak Japanese GDP could weigh on cyclical sectors and investor confidence if the data disappoint further - impacting industrials and manufacturing-linked stocks.
  • Geopolitical developments and renewed U.S.-Iran talks can influence oil prices and market sentiment; changes in diplomatic outcomes could alter energy sector risk and broader market reaction.

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