Stock Markets February 19, 2026

European equities dip as earnings roll in and geopolitical strains persist

Corporate results produce mixed outcomes while Middle East tensions and stalled Russia-Ukraine talks keep oil and risk sentiment elevated

By Nina Shah RIO
European equities dip as earnings roll in and geopolitical strains persist
RIO

European stocks traded lower on Thursday as companies released a fresh wave of quarterly results and investors weighed rising geopolitical friction. Major indices in Germany, France and the U.K. were down modestly early in the session. Corporate releases ranged from record profits at Zurich Insurance to sizeable non-cash charges at Renault, and markets were also sensitive to renewed tensions linked to the Russia-Ukraine standoff and turbulent developments in the Middle East that pushed oil prices higher.

Key Points

  • European indices ticked lower Thursday as a steady stream of corporate results and geopolitical strains influenced risk appetite - sectors directly affected include consumer goods, mining, insurance, aerospace, automotive and packaging.
  • Company updates showed mixed outcomes: record underwriting profit at Zurich Insurance and improved mining volumes at Rio Tinto contrasted with sales declines at Pernod Ricard, a large non-cash charge at Renault and weaker margins at Nestle.
  • Energy markets reacted to heightened Middle East military activity and stalled diplomacy between Russia and Ukraine, lifting Brent and WTI prices and pressuring market liquidity expectations.

European equity markets edged down on Thursday as investors absorbed another busy slate of corporate earnings alongside heightened geopolitical uncertainty. At 03:02 ET (08:02 GMT), Germany's DAX was down 0.3%, France's CAC 40 slipped 0.2% and the U.K.'s FTSE 100 fell 0.2%.


Corporate earnings continue to shape the trading day

It was another active day for company reports in a quarter that has seen roughly 60% of European firms beat earnings expectations to date. The results on Thursday illustrated the uneven dynamics across sectors and regions.

Pernod Ricard (EPA:PERP) recorded a 5% decrease in second-quarter like-for-like sales. The French spirits group cited weak consumer demand and destocking in the United States and China as ongoing headwinds. The decline was smaller than the prior quarter's 7.6% contraction, with Pernod Ricard noting improving trends in India and in global travel retail.

Mining giant Rio Tinto (LON:RIO) reported flat underlying earnings for 2025. Higher copper and aluminium volumes together with tighter cost controls helped offset pressure from weaker iron ore prices for the world's largest iron ore producer.

Renault (EPA:RENA) posted a net loss of 10.93 billion for 2025, following a 9.3 billion non-cash charge tied to an accounting change for its stake in Nissan. The automaker's underlying operating performance held up and revenue rose 3% despite the accounting-related loss.

Nestle (SIX:NESN) reported a 17% decline in annual net profit for 2025 and noted a marked squeeze on margins. The company's results reflected restructuring charges, asset writedowns and the impact of a December infant formula recall.

Zurich Insurance (SIX:ZURN) delivered a record operating profit of $8.9 billion for 2025, a 14% increase from the prior year. The insurer attributed the performance to a sharp improvement in its property and casualty underwriting result and growth across all three business segments.

Airbus Group (EPA:AIR) registered a slightly stronger fourth-quarter profit, while warning of a softer-than-anticipated deliveries outlook for 2026 amid an engine shortage.

French-Dutch carrier Air France KLM (EPA:AIRF) posted its first operating result above 2 billion, driven by revenue growth and lower fuel costs that helped offset rising airport charges and labor expenses.

German packaging equipment maker Krones (ETR:KRNG) reported fourth-quarter earnings that beat analyst expectations on profitability while slightly missing revenue projections, continuing its profitable growth trajectory despite difficult macroeconomic conditions.


Geopolitical tensions remain a near-term market driver

Geopolitical developments added a layer of risk. Ukrainian and Russian negotiators held their third U.S.-mediated meeting of 2026 this week without any breakthrough on key issues such as territory. Moscow is seeking Kyiv's withdrawal from the roughly 20% of the eastern Donetsk region that Russia does not control, a demand Ukraine rejects.

Separately, nuclear talks between the U.S. and Iran in Geneva produced little progress, with U.S. Vice President JD Vance saying Washington was weighing whether to continue diplomatic engagement with Tehran or pursue "another option". Satellite imagery reviewed by experts indicated Iran had constructed a concrete shield over a facility at a sensitive military site and covered it with soil, advancing work at a location reportedly bombed by Israel in 2024.


Oil moves higher on supply concerns

Oil prices climbed on Thursday amid reports of elevated military activity in the Middle East and concerns about possible disruptions to flows from the region. Brent futures rose 1% to $71.04 a barrel while U.S. West Texas Intermediate futures gained 1.1% to $65.75 a barrel.

Both benchmarks had settled more than 4% higher on Wednesday, marking their strongest settlements since January 30. Media accounts of increased military and naval activity in the Persian Gulf reinforced perceptions of supply vulnerability, while hopes for any near-term easing of sanctions on Russian energy faded after Russia-Ukraine talks produced no breakthrough.

Supporting the market, industry data from the American Petroleum Institute showed U.S. crude stocks fell by about 609,000 barrels in the week to Feb. 13. Official figures from the Energy Information Administration were scheduled for release later on Thursday.


What to watch next

Investors will continue to parse corporate updates for signals on demand, margins and capital allocation, while watching geopolitics and official supply data for indications of near-term market stress. The mix of results across insurers, industrials, food companies and automakers highlights looming divergence across sectors.

Risks

  • Geopolitical escalation - Elevated tensions in the Middle East and stalled Russia-Ukraine negotiations may disrupt commodity flows and heighten market volatility, particularly for energy and transport sectors.
  • Company-specific shocks - Large non-cash charges and restructuring costs, as seen at Renault and Nestle, can materially affect reported earnings and investor assessments of profitability in the automotive and consumer staples sectors.
  • Supply-side oil risks - Reports of increased military activity in the Persian Gulf and tighter U.S. crude inventories could sustain price swings, impacting oil-dependent industries and inflation-sensitive sectors.

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