Stock Markets February 26, 2026

Energy Recovery Shares Drop Sharply After Guidance Miss and Exit From CO2 Retail Venture

Desalination equipment maker cuts 2026 revenue outlook and discontinues carbon dioxide retail grocery operations, sending shares to their largest intraday decline on record

By Leila Farooq ERII
Energy Recovery Shares Drop Sharply After Guidance Miss and Exit From CO2 Retail Venture
ERII

Energy Recovery Inc. saw its stock slide more than 32% on Thursday after the company issued 2026 revenue and earnings guidance that came in well below analyst expectations and said it would immediately wind down its carbon dioxide retail grocery business. The desalination equipment manufacturer reported fourth-quarter results that also missed estimates, and its shares fell as much as 34% during the trading session.

Key Points

  • Energy Recovery projected 2026 revenue of $115 million to $140 million, below the average analyst estimate of $165 million.
  • The company forecast adjusted EPS of $0.50 to $0.70 for 2026, versus the analyst estimate of $0.88, and reported Q4 adjusted EPS of $0.53 on revenue of $66.9 million—both missing estimates.
  • Energy Recovery will immediately wind down its carbon dioxide retail grocery business, citing that scaled adoption would require significant time, investment, and risk; the stock fell as much as 34% intraday.

Shares of Energy Recovery Inc., the desalination equipment manufacturer, plunged more than 32% on Thursday after management set 2026 targets that fell short of market forecasts and said it would exit its carbon dioxide retail grocery business.

The company gave a full-year 2026 revenue range of $115 million to $140 million, below the average analyst projection of $165 million. Adjusted earnings per share guidance for the year was set between $0.50 and $0.70, versus the consensus estimate of $0.88.

Energy Recovery also reported fourth-quarter results that missed Wall Street expectations. Adjusted diluted earnings per share were $0.53, short of the $0.67 estimate. Quarterly revenue totaled $66.9 million, underperforming the forecast of $82.6 million.

In a separate development, the company said it will wind down its carbon dioxide retail grocery business effective immediately. In a letter to shareholders posted on its website, Energy Recovery noted that achieving scaled adoption of that business would require substantial time, investment, and risk. The decision to discontinue the venture was announced alongside the updated 2026 guidance.

Market reaction was swift. Shares dropped as much as 34% during the session, marking the largest intraday decline on record for the stock. The initial downward move exceeded 32% before reaching the intraday low.

The combination of a forecast that missed analyst expectations and the immediate wind-down of a consumer-facing business weighed on investor sentiment, producing the sharp sell-off. The weaker-than-expected quarterly results added to pressure on the share price.


Context and next steps

Energy Recovery’s guidance and operational decision highlight near-term uncertainty for the company’s revenue and earnings trajectory. The firm’s stated rationale for ending the carbon dioxide retail grocery effort emphasized the time horizon, capital requirements, and risks associated with scaling that particular business line.

Investors and market observers will likely watch for further commentary from management on how the company plans to allocate resources going forward and whether there will be updates to capital allocation or cost structure that respond to the softer outlook.

Risks

  • Revenue and earnings guidance for 2026 missed analyst expectations, introducing uncertainty for the company’s near-term financial performance.
  • The immediate wind-down of the carbon dioxide retail grocery business reflects challenges in achieving scaled adoption and implies additional time and investment would have been required.
  • The combination of weaker quarterly results and a downgraded outlook generated a large intraday share price decline, indicating heightened market sensitivity to the company's projections.

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