Stock Markets February 10, 2026

Dubai International Forecast to Near 100 Million Passengers in 2026

DXB eyes 99.5 million travelers after a record 2025 as authorities push a $35 billion expansion at Al Maktoum to ease capacity constraints

By Hana Yamamoto
Dubai International Forecast to Near 100 Million Passengers in 2026

Dubai Airports expects Dubai International Airport (DXB) to handle 99.5 million passengers in 2026, following a record year in 2025 when DXB served 95.2 million travelers. Key source markets include India, Saudi Arabia and Britain, while China, Egypt and Italy posted double-digit growth. A $35 billion expansion of Al Maktoum International is planned to boost long-term capacity.

Key Points

  • DXB is forecast to handle 99.5 million passengers in 2026 after a record 95.2 million in 2025 - impacts aviation and travel sectors.
  • India, Saudi Arabia and Britain remain among the airport's top markets, while China, Egypt and Italy logged double-digit growth - relevant to international tourism and airline route planning.
  • A $35 billion phased expansion at Al Maktoum International aims to raise long-term airport capacity to 260 million annual passengers - material to infrastructure and construction sectors.

Dubai International Airport (DXB) is projected to move close to 100 million passengers in 2026, strengthening a trajectory set by a record 2025 performance, the airport operator said on Wednesday.

Dubai Airports put the 2026 forecast at 99.5 million passengers, citing robust demand across several major source markets. Last year DXB handled 95.2 million passengers, an increase of 3.1% from 2024.

Among the largest markets for DXB, India, Saudi Arabia and Britain remained prominent. The operator also flagged notable double-digit passenger growth from China, Egypt and Italy, underscoring a broadening of demand across different regions.

Government data referenced in the operator statement shows Dubai received 19.6 million international overnight visitors in the past year, reinforcing the emirate's role as a regional tourism and trade hub. Dubai is also a major connecting point for air traffic between Europe and Asia.

"DXB achieved its busiest day, month, quarter and year on record, operating at the edge of physical capacity while consistently delivering operational excellence," Dubai Airports said.

The statement highlights that last year saw record operational highs, with activity running close to the airport's physical limits. To address rising demand and a rapidly expanding local population, Dubai has announced a major expansion at its second airport, Al Maktoum International, which is also run by Dubai Airports.

The Al Maktoum project carries a price tag of $35 billion and is designed in phases: an initial capacity target of 150 million passengers per year over the next decade, with an eventual build-out to 260 million annual passengers when the full program is complete.


Those figures reflect a long-term strategy to increase the emirate's aviation capacity and to provide greater resilience against capacity constraints at DXB. The phased approach to expanding Al Maktoum suggests a multi-stage delivery timeline stretching across the coming decade.

Dubai's airports continue to sit at the center of the emirate's tourism and trade infrastructure, balancing short-term operational strain at DXB with a large-scale capital program intended to underpin future growth in passenger volumes.

Risks

  • DXB operated "at the edge of physical capacity" in 2025, indicating capacity constraints that could strain operations and service levels - affects airlines, ground handlers and retail concession revenues.
  • Concentration of traffic from a few large markets (India, Saudi Arabia, Britain) could expose the airport to demand swings in those regions - relevant to carriers and tourism-dependent businesses.
  • The Al Maktoum expansion is a large, multi-decade project designed to reach 150 million passengers within the next decade and 260 million when complete, creating uncertainty around delivery timing and phased capacity availability - impacts infrastructure planners and long-term aviation capacity.

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