Stock Markets February 23, 2026

Dominion Energy Lowers 2026 Profit Outlook, Boosts Five-Year Capital Plan as Data-Center Demand Rises

Utility expands investment program nearly 30% while fourth-quarter costs climb, squeezing near-term earnings outlook

By Priya Menon D
Dominion Energy Lowers 2026 Profit Outlook, Boosts Five-Year Capital Plan as Data-Center Demand Rises
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Dominion Energy raised its five-year capital spending plan as it responds to growing electricity demand from large data centers, but projected 2026 operating earnings that sit below analysts' consensus. The company reported a modest beat on fourth-quarter adjusted earnings, while operating expenses climbed nearly 11%, and its shares slipped in premarket trading after the earnings outlook was released.

Key Points

  • Dominion raised its five-year capital spending plan to $64.7 billion for 2026-2030, up from a prior five-year plan of $50.1 billion through 2029 - impacts utilities and energy infrastructure investment.
  • The company contracted nearly 48.5 GW of data center capacity as of December, up 1.4 GW from September, reflecting growing power demand from large technology and private data-center customers - impacts tech and data-center operators as well as local grid operators.
  • Dominion forecast fiscal 2026 operating earnings of $3.45 to $3.69 per share; the midpoint was below analysts' average estimate of $3.60, and the stock slipped about 1.4% in premarket trading.

Dominion Energy said it will increase capital expenditures substantially over the next five years even as it projected operating earnings for fiscal 2026 that leave the midpoint below Wall Street estimates. The Richmond, Virginia-based utility raised its planned investments to $64.7 billion for 2026 through 2030, up from a prior five-year target of $50.1 billion through 2029.

The company framed the larger capital program as a response to surging electricity demand. Dominion reported it had contracted nearly 48.5 gigawatts of data center capacity as of December, an increase of 1.4 gigawatts since September. Customers named by the company include large technology firms such as Alphabet, Amazon, Microsoft, Meta and Equinix, as well as private providers CoreWeave and CyrusOne. Dominion’s Virginia utility, the company said, serves the world’s largest data center market, exceeding the combined capacity of the next five U.S. markets.

Despite the expanded spending plan, Dominion’s outlook for operating earnings in fiscal 2026 came in at a range of $3.45 to $3.69 per share. The midpoint of that range was below analysts’ average estimate of $3.60, based on data compiled by LSEG. In premarket trading, the stock fell about 1.4% following the announcement.

Operationally, the company reported pressures during the fourth quarter. Operating expenses rose almost 11% year-over-year to $3.33 billion, which management said offset what was otherwise a positive quarter. For the three months ended December 31, Dominion’s adjusted profit was 68 cents per share, narrowly ahead of the 67-cent consensus.

The company did not provide additional guidance beyond the five-year capital figure and the 2026 operating earnings range. Questions remain about how the larger investment plan will be executed and how recent expense trends will influence near-term results.


Disclosure:

Risks

  • The midpoint of Dominion’s 2026 operating earnings projection was below analysts’ consensus, creating near-term earnings risk for shareholders and market confidence.
  • Fourth-quarter operating expenses rose nearly 11% to $3.33 billion, which offset otherwise positive results and presents uncertainty for short-term margin trends.
  • A substantially larger five-year capital program increases execution and budgetary demands on the company as it scales investment to meet data-center and broader electricity demand.

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