Stock Markets February 9, 2026

Deutsche Bank Lowers Prysmian to Hold, Says Rally Has Eroded Valuation Upside

Analyst trims target to €100 after shares climb 19% year-to-date; notes limited near-term upside despite strong execution and structural demand drivers

By Avery Klein
Deutsche Bank Lowers Prysmian to Hold, Says Rally Has Eroded Valuation Upside

Deutsche Bank has reduced its rating on Prysmian from buy to hold and set a new price target of €100, arguing the cable maker's recent 19% year-to-date advance has largely priced in expected gains. The bank highlights a 2026 EV/EBITA multiple near 16x and warns that delayed tariffs on copper cables may slow anticipated U.S. market-share gains. While a solid fourth-quarter is expected and management is credited for execution, guidance for fiscal 2026 EBITDA is likely only in line at best, restricting near-term upside from current levels.

Key Points

  • Deutsche Bank downgraded Prysmian from buy to hold and set a new price target of €100, down from a prior range of €97 to €100.
  • Prysmian's stock is up 19% year-to-date and last closed at €102.95; the company is trading at about 16x EV/EBITA for 2026.
  • While management execution and exposure to electrification and data center buildouts are positives, delayed tariffs on copper cables and a valuation that now matches peers limit near-term upside.

Deutsche Bank has moved Prysmian from a buy rating to hold, saying that the stock's recent run-up leaves less room for immediate upside. The bank's analyst, Nabil Najeeb, reduced the price target to €100 from a prior range of €97 to €100 and urged investors to consider taking profits after a strong year-to-date performance.

Prysmian's shares have risen 19% so far this year and last closed at €102.95, according to the bank. Deutsche Bank calculates that Prysmian is trading at roughly 16x EV/EBITA on a 2026 basis, a multiple that marks a notable compression from the undemanding valuation that formed a central pillar of the earlier investment case.

Najeeb said the valuation advantage that once set Prysmian apart from leading European electrical peers has largely dissipated. That narrowing of the valuation gap is a primary reason for the downgrade, as it reduces the margin of safety and limits potential near-term returns from current levels.

The analyst also addressed expectations tied to tariffs. Forecasts that Prysmian might secure additional U.S. market share on the back of copper and aluminum tariffs have been elevated, he said, but progress may be slower than investors expect because tariffs on copper cables continue to be delayed.

Deutsche Bank expects a solid fourth-quarter performance from Prysmian. However, the bank cautioned that full-year 2026 EBITDA guidance is likely to be, at best, in line with current consensus, which further constrains the upside case for the stock in the near term.

Despite the downgrade, Najeeb acknowledged that Prysmian's management has demonstrated consistent execution. The company remains exposed to long-term structural trends such as electrification and data center buildouts, which support the longer-term investment thesis. Still, given the tightened valuation, Deutsche Bank believes much of those positives are already reflected in the share price.


Clear summary: Deutsche Bank downgraded Prysmian to hold and lowered its price target to €100 after a 19% YTD share price increase left valuation closer to peers. The bank points to a 2026 EV/EBITA of about 16x, delayed tariffs that may slow U.S. market-share gains, and limited scope for FY26 EBITDA upside as reasons the stock's near-term appreciation is constrained.

Risks

  • Delay in tariffs on copper cables could slow Prysmian's expected U.S. market-share gains - impacts electrical equipment and infrastructure sectors.
  • FY26 EBITDA guidance may be only in line with expectations, which would cap short-term stock performance - impacts investor returns and market sentiment in industrials.
  • Valuation compression versus European electrical peers reduces the margin of safety and potential for further near-term upside - affects equity valuations in the electrical and infrastructure supply chain.

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