Stock Markets February 26, 2026

Cirsa Tops Guidance on 2025 Revenues; Issues 2026 Targets in Line With Street

Company posts mid-single-digit growth, trims leverage and proposes dividend while outlining modest 2026 expansion expectations

By Jordan Park
Cirsa Tops Guidance on 2025 Revenues; Issues 2026 Targets in Line With Street

Cirsa reported full-year 2025 revenues of €2,339 million, a 9% increase that exceeded the company’s guidance range and modestly topped consensus. Adjusted EBITDA rose to €753.5 million, leverage fell to 2.7x, and the board proposed a €0.45 per-share dividend. For 2026, management issued revenue and EBITDA guidance that broadly aligns with market expectations.

Key Points

  • Cirsa delivered 2025 revenues of €2,339 million, beating the top end of its guidance and edging past consensus - impacts consumer discretionary and gaming sectors.
  • Adjusted EBITDA rose to €753.5 million while leverage fell to 2.7x; the company proposed a €0.45 per-share dividend totaling €75 million - relevant to investors and credit markets.
  • 2026 guidance (revenues €2,500-2,560m; EBITDA €800-820m) aligns closely with consensus, indicating expected continued but modest growth - affects market expectations for gaming operators.

Cirsa announced full-year 2025 results showing revenues of €2,339 million, an increase of 9% versus the prior year and slightly above the top end of the group’s guidance range of €2,325-2,335 million. The top-line figure also came in roughly 1% ahead of consensus estimates of €2,325 million.

Adjusted EBITDA for 2025 reached €753.5 million, an 8% year-over-year rise. That outcome marginally exceeded both the company’s own guidance range of €750-753 million and consensus expectations, which were €751 million.

Cirsa reported a reduction in its leverage ratio to 2.7x and has proposed a dividend of €0.45 per share, representing a total distribution of €75 million.


Guidance for 2026

Looking ahead, the company provided 2026 guidance targeting revenues between €2,500 million and €2,560 million. The midpoint of that range implies approximately 8% growth and sits about 1% above consensus estimates of €2,499 million. For adjusted EBITDA, management guided to €800-820 million, a range that suggests about 7% growth and is consistent with consensus expectations of €813 million at the midpoint.


Quarterly and segment performance

In the fourth quarter, group revenues rose 6% while EBITDA increased 4%.

The Casinos segment recorded 6% revenue growth and a 4% increase in EBITDA, with management describing trading conditions as very positive.

Slots Spain posted 6% revenue growth and delivered a 24% increase in EBITDA, with margins holding at 51% for the second consecutive quarter. Management highlighted healthy organic growth in this division and reported no change in underlying trends.

Slots Italy saw revenues climb 18% and EBITDA increase 7%, a performance partly driven by the acquisition of Royal in the first quarter of 2025.

The Online Gaming and Betting segment experienced a 1% decline in revenues and a 29% fall in EBITDA, which the company attributed to customer-friendly sports results in September and October. Despite the segment’s earnings pressure, underlying turnover expanded 10% in the quarter and 15% for the full year, surpassing the company’s 10% turnover target.


M&A activity

Cirsa stepped up acquisition activity in the fourth quarter, completing purchases that included casino operations in Morocco and Peru, as well as a Spanish slot operator. Management said the company has a high-quality M&A pipeline for 2026.


These results leave the company in a position of modestly stronger operational performance versus guidance, with a small improvement relative to consensus and a capital return to shareholders via the proposed dividend. The 2026 outlook is broadly aligned with market expectations, reflecting a continuation of measured growth assumptions.

Risks

  • Online Gaming and Betting earnings are sensitive to sporting outcomes; the segment reported a 1% revenue decline and a 29% fall in EBITDA after customer-friendly sports results in September and October - this creates volatility for the gaming sector.
  • M&A-driven growth can alter comparability of results; Slots Italy’s 18% revenue increase and 7% EBITDA rise were aided by the acquisition of Royal in Q1 2025 - integration and deal effects may affect future performance in leisure and gaming segments.
  • 2026 guidance is largely in line with consensus (revenue midpoint about 1% above consensus and EBITDA midpoint matching consensus), which may limit upside if expectations are already priced by markets - this affects investor sentiment and equity performance.

More from Stock Markets

BaFin Widens Probe into Gerresheimer, Shares Plunge as Audits Expand Feb 26, 2026 Mobico posts EBIT ahead of forecasts but flags slower growth in new guidance Feb 26, 2026 Fluidra Posts Soft Q4 as Margins Fall Short of Estimates Feb 26, 2026 Shurgard posts mixed FY2025 results, issues 2027-30 growth roadmap and 2026 guidance Feb 26, 2026 Drax Posts Record Renewable Output in 2025, Balances Growth Investments with Impairments Feb 26, 2026