Stock Markets March 5, 2026

BofA Restarts Coverage, Favors Card Networks and Select Payments Names

Bank of America highlights Visa and Mastercard as top risk-adjusted opportunities amid continued digital payments growth

By Jordan Park
BofA Restarts Coverage, Favors Card Networks and Select Payments Names

Bank of America has reinstated coverage of a group of payments companies, saying fundamentals remain supportive thanks to growing electronic commerce, improving cross-border spending and an ongoing shift away from cash. The bank rates Visa and Mastercard as its preferred risk-adjusted plays, and assigns differentiated stances to digital-wallet and buy-now-pay-later providers based on margins, cost actions and growth visibility.

Key Points

  • Bank of America reinstated coverage of several payment companies, calling the outlook broadly constructive due to expanding digital commerce, improving cross-border spending and migration away from cash.
  • Visa and Mastercard are rated Buy and identified as the strongest risk-adjusted opportunities because of durable earnings, resilient fee structures and strong cash generation, with business models seen as largely insulated from AI disruption.
  • Block is rated Buy with an $88 target after a 40% workforce reduction tied to AI initiatives and improving Square and Cash App trends; PayPal is rated Neutral with a $48 target and described as undergoing a "fundamental reset" with limited visibility on future growth.

Bank of America has resumed coverage of a range of payment-sector companies, telling investors that steady transaction volumes and broader adoption of digital payment methods continue to underpin the industry even as investor sentiment has been pressured recently.

The firm described its outlook for the group as broadly constructive, citing three structural trends driving the thesis: expanding digital commerce, improving cross-border travel and spending, and a continued migration away from cash.


Card networks ranked as top choices

Among the firms now covered, Bank of America identified card networks Visa and Mastercard as offering the most compelling risk-adjusted opportunities and assigned both companies Buy ratings. The bank highlighted that these networks benefit from durable earnings profiles, resilient fee structures and robust cash generation as electronic payments take share around the world.

Bank of America added that the networks' business models are largely insulated from potential disruption tied to artificial intelligence, and that recent share-price weakness linked to regulatory and macroeconomic concerns has opened more attractive entry points for investors.


Digital wallets: divergent views on Block and PayPal

In the digital-wallet segment, the bank assigned a Buy rating to Block Inc. with a price target of $88 and a Neutral rating to PayPal Holdings with a $48 price target. Bank of America said Block enters 2026 with a lower cost base after a recently announced 40% workforce reduction tied to AI initiatives, together with improving trends in its Square and Cash App operations.

By contrast, the bank described PayPal as facing a "fundamental reset," pointing to slowing growth in branded checkout. While PayPal's scale and strong free cash flow offer some support, Bank of America said visibility on the company's future growth trajectory is limited. The bank also noted that press reports have suggested PayPal or some of its assets could draw acquisition interest from payments rival Stripe.


Buy-now-pay-later coverage resumed

Bank of America also restarted coverage of buy-now-pay-later providers Affirm Holdings and Klarna, giving both Buy ratings. The bank argued that Affirm benefits from steady gross merchandise value growth, disciplined underwriting and broader distribution, including partnerships with Amazon and Shopify.

Klarna, the bank said, is gaining traction in the United States and is posting faster gross-profit growth, though it warned that near-term guidance and an upcoming lock-up expiration could increase volatility in the shares. Overall, Bank of America judges buy-now-pay-later services to be well positioned to gain share as adoption increases across online commerce.


This coverage reset from Bank of America reflects a sector view that structural demand trends remain intact even amid episodic sentiment pressures. The bank's ratings and price targets signal a preference for established networks with predictable cash flows, while taking a more nuanced stance across wallets and BNPL names based on cost actions, growth visibility and event-driven risks.

Risks

  • Regulatory and macroeconomic concerns have recently weighed on payments stocks and could continue to pressure valuations - this affects the broader financials and payments sectors.
  • Near-term guidance uncertainty and an upcoming lock-up expiration for Klarna could introduce volatility, impacting investor sentiment in fintech and BNPL-focused companies.
  • Limited visibility on PayPal's growth trajectory despite strong scale and free cash flow introduces execution risk, particularly for digital-wallet and checkout-related services.

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