Stock Markets March 18, 2026

BHP’s New Chief Aims to Steady Strategy amid Copper Race and China Strains

Brandon Craig signals operational focus, relationship-building and disciplined ESG as top priorities for the world’s largest listed miner

By Nina Shah
BHP’s New Chief Aims to Steady Strategy amid Copper Race and China Strains

Brandon Craig, BHP’s incoming chief executive, takes over as the mining giant confronts intensifying competition for copper, heightened geopolitical friction and strained relations with a key Chinese customer that have threatened its iron ore strength. A 25-year company veteran with senior roles across copper and iron ore, Craig is prioritising operational execution, stronger government and customer ties, organic growth and economic discipline on ESG commitments rather than sweeping organisational change or immediate large acquisitions.

Key Points

  • New CEO Brandon Craig, a 25-year company veteran, prioritises operational execution, organic growth and stronger relationships with governments and customers - impacts the mining and metals sectors and global commodity supply chains.
  • Leadership change provides an opportunity to reset strained ties with major customer CMRG after a dispute that led to Chinese mills being barred from buying some of the company’s products - impacts iron ore markets and trade flows.
  • Company focus is shifting toward growth in the Americas where incentive regimes are described as more competitive than Australia; ESG commitments will continue but with an added cost overlay - impacts regional investment flows and corporate ESG strategies.

Brandon Craig has assumed leadership at the world’s largest listed mining company at a moment when the industry faces heightened rivalry for copper, rising geopolitical tensions and an uneasy relationship with a major Chinese buyer that has put pressure on the miner’s iron ore franchise.

A South African-born engineer who became a naturalised Australian, Craig brings 25 years of experience within the firm to the role. He is a long-serving executive who only recently emerged as a frontrunner for the top job, but was widely regarded inside and outside the company as a rising leader.

Rather than signalling a program of sweeping internal overhaul or signalling an immediate buying spree, Craig’s initial agenda appears oriented toward using his operational background to shore up global vulnerabilities and ensure reliable delivery from existing assets. Within hours of the company announcing his appointment, he faced media questions on a range of topics including growth strategy, the possibility of spinning off coal or iron ore assets, and the implications of a Western strategy to realign minerals supply chains.

On those questions, Craig was clear that the company will prioritise organic growth and be selective about acquisitions, saying any purchase would need to be compelling. He stressed a return to fundamentals in customer and government engagement. "What’s going to be really critical is to continue to focus on building really strong relationships with both governments and customers," he said.

The incoming leadership team plans a global engagement tour. The group was scheduled to fly to London later on the announcement day and intends to visit China in the coming weeks to meet with one of its most important customers. Craig underscored that the company has decades of experience managing geopolitical risk.


Background and leadership style

Craig, 53, holds a Master’s in Business Leadership and a Bachelor of Engineering in Mechanical Engineering from the University of Natal in South Africa. Colleagues describe him as generally low-key but capable of being engaging and charismatic. Outside of work, people who know him note personal interests such as fishing and listening to the heavy metal band Metallica. He is a father of two.

His operational credentials include leadership of the company’s Americas division, which encompasses its principal copper operations, and management of the Western Australia iron ore business. Those roles give him senior-level experience across the miner’s two most important operating platforms at a time of intensifying geopolitical pressures.

Reflecting on his iron ore experience, Craig said that work in that business taught him the value of "forging really close relationships across the board with customers and governments" and the unique perspective that provides on how those stakeholders view the world. He added that those insights help the company to navigate effectively.


Customer tensions and the opportunity to reset

The change at the top also offers a moment to try to reset a strained relationship with the company’s largest customer, CMRG. The two have been engaged in a protracted dispute over annual supply terms, a disagreement that has led China to ban some of the company’s products from being purchased by certain mills.

Craig was chosen following a global and internal search initiated after the resignation of the outgoing chief executive, Mike Henry, the company’s chairman Ross McEwan said. Craig described the call from the chairman about the appointment as "pretty exciting" and that he had not been expecting it.

As recently as November, Henry had said he felt energised by the top role, and there had been speculation that he would remain, but he later pursued a failed approach to acquire another mining company, Anglo American, before stepping down.


Strategy, regional focus and incentives

Observers note that Craig’s elevation is more evolutionary than transformational. The company is placing renewed emphasis on the Americas for growth, citing more competitive incentives in jurisdictions such as Argentina, Chile, the United States and Canada compared with Australia. Craig commented that while he wants to see Australia succeed, many countries are deploying very attractive incentive regimes to attract investment and that Australia will need to compete for capital.

The emphasis on the Americas reflects where the company sees the most attractive growth opportunities and aligns with Craig’s operational experience in the region.


ESG commitments and economic discipline

On environmental, social and governance issues, including matters tied to net zero, Craig said his personal commitments remain unchanged even as some companies pull back from ESG-linked targets. He indicated the company will continue to pursue those objectives but will layer in a cost overlay, stating: "We will continue to pursue those but we want to pursue them with a level of economic discipline."


Outlook

Craig’s early focus is likely to be operational delivery and stabilising key relationships with governments and customers amid an environment of heightened competition for copper and geopolitical friction that has already affected iron ore demand from parts of China. His experience across the company’s copper and iron ore operations positions him to concentrate on execution, customer engagement and disciplined resource allocation rather than rapid structural change.

The leadership transition, the redirection of growth emphasis toward the Americas, and the pledge to maintain ESG ambitions within a cost framework together outline the contours of the company’s near-term approach under its new chief executive.

Risks

  • Strained relations with top customer CMRG and resulting restrictions on sales to some Chinese mills pose a risk to iron ore volumes and revenue - affects iron ore markets and downstream steelmaking sectors.
  • Escalating geopolitical tensions and increased competition for copper create uncertainty around future commodity access and pricing - affects copper supply chains and miners focused on copper.
  • Potential shifts in national incentive regimes and competition for investment between Australia and the Americas could introduce regulatory and policy uncertainty for project development and capital allocation - affects mining investment and regional economic policy.

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