Stock Markets February 24, 2026

Bayer Files New York Suit Accusing J&J of Misleading Erleada Ads Over Mortality Claims

Plaintiff says J&J’s real-world analysis and 51% mortality reduction claim create biased comparison that harms Nubeqa’s commercial prospects

By Priya Menon JNJ
Bayer Files New York Suit Accusing J&J of Misleading Erleada Ads Over Mortality Claims
JNJ

Bayer AG has sued Johnson & Johnson in federal court in New York, alleging that J&J carried out a misleading advertising campaign for its prostate cancer drug Erleada that falsely claimed a 51% lower risk of death versus Bayer’s Nubeqa. The complaint contends the comparison relied on a retrospective real-world analysis with unequal patient groups and off-label prescribing for most of the study period, and asks a judge to require corrective advertising.

Key Points

  • Bayer filed a federal lawsuit in New York alleging Johnson & Johnson made false and misleading advertising claims for Erleada that harm Nubeqas sales prospects.
  • J&Js February 2026 ad campaign claimed Erleada reduced the risk of death by 51% versus Nubeqa based on a "real world head-to-head analysis."
  • Bayer argues the analysis relied on retrospective electronic medical records and claims data, compared 1,460 Erleada patients to 287 Nubeqa patients, and included off-label Nubeqa use for 97% of the study period.

Bayer AG initiated legal action Monday in the U.S. District Court in New York, accusing Johnson & Johnson of airing false and deceptive advertisements that the suit says damage sales prospects for Bayer’s prostate cancer therapy Nubeqa.

At issue is J&J’s February 2026 marketing effort asserting that Erleada demonstrated a 51% reduction in the risk of death compared with Nubeqa based on what J&J described as a "real world head-to-head analysis." Bayer has asked the court to order J&J to retract or correct those representations.

Both medicines are androgen receptor inhibitors administered alongside androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) to treat metastatic castration-sensitive prostate cancer, a condition noted in the complaint as responsible for more than 35,000 deaths annually in the United States.

Regulatory timelines for the two drugs are part of the suit’s factual background. Bayer’s Nubeqa (NYSE:BAY) earned FDA approval for use as a doublet with ADT in June 2025. J&J’s Erleada (NYSE:JNJ) received approval for the same doublet indication in September 2019. Bayer reported global Nubeqa sales of 21.63 billion in the first nine months of 2025, which the complaint converts to approximately $1.81 billion using a September 30, 2025 conversion rate.

The core legal argument centers on whether J&J’s analysis satisfies the FDA standard that substantial evidence is required to support claims of superior efficacy between prescription products. Bayer says it does not.

According to the complaint, J&J based its advertised mortality advantage on a retrospective observational study that mined real-world data from electronic medical records and administrative claims. Bayer asserts this methodology falls short of the randomized controlled clinical trial standard that would be necessary to demonstrate one drugs superiority over another.

Bayer highlights aspects of the underlying dataset it says undermine comparability. The suit states that for 97% of the study period - from August 5, 2022 to June 30, 2025 - Nubeqa was being prescribed off-label as part of doublet therapy prior to its FDA approval on June 2, 2025. Bayer further alleges the analysis compared 1,460 patients treated with Erleada to just 287 patients who received Nubeqa.

The complaint contends that many of the smaller cohort of Nubeqa patients were treated off-label for specific clinical reasons that are not captured in the available electronic records and claims data. Bayer says that selection bias and the resulting non-comparability between the groups render J&Js mortality comparison invalid.

In its filing Bayer is seeking judicial relief to correct the marketing claims. The lawsuit frames the dispute as a question of whether a retrospective, observational, real-world analysis can support a direct superiority claim in promotional materials for prescription drugs.


Contextual note: The complaint sets out factual allegations and legal claims; the outcome will depend on judicial review of the underlying data and the parties legal arguments.

Risks

  • Regulatory and legal uncertainty - The dispute raises uncertainty about permissible promotional claims in pharmaceutical advertising, affecting compliance and litigation risk in the healthcare sector.
  • Commercial impact on oncology drug sales - If the court finds the ads misleading or requires corrective measures, it could affect market share and prescribing patterns in the prostate cancer treatment market.
  • Data and methodological limitations - Reliance on retrospective observational real-world data may produce selection bias and non-comparability that complicate claims of comparative efficacy between drugs.

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