Stock Markets February 11, 2026

ASX Flags Steep Cost Increase for 2026 as CEO Plans Exit and Regulator Probes Bite

Exchange reports higher first-half underlying profit but warns of 20%-23% expense rise driven by outages, regulatory scrutiny and corporate inquiry

By Leila Farooq ASX
ASX Flags Steep Cost Increase for 2026 as CEO Plans Exit and Regulator Probes Bite
ASX

ASX Ltd said it now expects fiscal 2026 expenses to rise 20%-23%, up from prior guidance of 14%-19%, as costs linked to system outages, regulatory scrutiny and a corporate watchdog probe mount. The exchange posted a modest rise in first-half underlying profit but announced the planned departure of CEO Helen Lofthouse and a reduced interim dividend.

Key Points

  • ASX raised fiscal 2026 expense guidance to a 20%-23% increase from a prior 14%-19% range, citing system outages, regulatory scrutiny and a corporate watchdog probe - impacts financial exchanges and market infrastructure sectors.
  • Underlying net profit after tax for the six months to Dec. 31 rose to A$263.6 million from A$253.7 million, supported by stronger trading volumes, while expenses climbed 20% to A$264.3 million - affects investor returns and exchange operations.
  • CEO Helen Lofthouse’s planned departure, ongoing ASIC review with a final report due March 31, 2026, and competition from Cboe Global Markets highlight governance, regulatory and competitive pressures - relevant to regulation and capital markets sectors

Australia's main securities exchange operator, ASX Ltd, warned investors that costs for the 2026 fiscal year will be materially higher than its previous outlook, even as it recorded a small increase in first-half underlying profit. The firm revised its total expense guidance to a 20%-23% rise for the year, up from an earlier 14%-19% range, citing a cluster of operational and regulatory costs.

Shares of ASX fell on the disclosure, sliding as much as 2.6% to A$53.92 during the session, adding to a 6.2% decline in the prior trading day. That movement contrasted with a 0.5% gain in the broader benchmark index.


First-half results

For the six months ended December 31, ASX reported an underlying net profit after tax of A$263.6 million, up from A$253.7 million a year earlier. The firm attributed the improvement in part to stronger trading volumes. However, cost pressures were prominent in the report: total expenses rose 20% to A$264.3 million.


What is driving the cost jump

Management pointed to several specific drivers underpinning the higher cost base. These include expenses tied to an ongoing regulatory probe and corporate watchdog inquiry, continued transformation spending, and elevated costs from ageing assets. The company also recorded intangible asset write-offs. ASX said it would absorb costs related to system outages and has committed an A$1 million credit disbursement to settlement participants through rebates following a CHESS batch settlement failure in late-2024.

ASX has experienced a series of operational issues that have drawn increased regulatory attention, including a name mix-up in August 2025 and an announcements-platform outage in December. The exchange is also facing competition from Cboe Global Markets and a comprehensive Australian Securities and Investments Commission review of its governance and operational risk management, with a final ASIC report due by March 31, 2026.

Costs associated with the ASIC inquiry are expected to reach the top end of an A$25 million–A$35 million range, according to the company.


Capital return and payout

ASX declared a fully franked interim dividend of 101.8 Australian cents per share, an 8.5% decline from a year earlier. The payout ratio stands at 75%, at the bottom end of the company’s updated guidance range.


Leadership change

The results and the upgraded cost outlook coincided with the announcement that CEO Helen Lofthouse plans to leave the company. The leadership change follows intensified scrutiny after the late-2024 CHESS failure and the string of more recent operational glitches.

($1 = 1.4043 Australian dollars)

Risks

  • Regulatory and inquiry costs: ASX expects ASIC inquiry costs at the top end of an A$25 million–A$35 million range, which could further pressure earnings - impacts financial services and market infrastructure.
  • Operational failures and outages: Recent incidents including a late-2024 CHESS batch settlement failure, an August 2025 name mix-up and a December announcements-platform outage have increased scrutiny and led to direct remediation and participant rebates - affects market participants and trading operations.
  • Leadership and competitive pressure: The planned exit of the CEO amid intensifying competition from Cboe Global Markets and an ASIC governance review creates uncertainty about strategic execution and oversight - relevant to governance and competitive dynamics in exchanges

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