Stock Markets July 15, 2026 03:10 AM

ASML’s Upgraded Guidance Lifts European Chip Stocks as AI Demand Strengthens

ASML raises annual sales and margin targets for a second time in 2026, bolstering chip-equipment peers and signalling heavier investment in AI-driven memory and logic capacity

By Ajmal Hussain
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ASML

European semiconductor equities climbed after ASML Holding increased its full-year sales and gross margin outlook for the second time this year. The upgraded guidance and stronger quarterly targets reflect heightened demand for chipmaking tools tied to AI infrastructure, with ASML forecasting substantial memory revenue growth and evaluating material increases in output of its most advanced EUV systems.

ASML’s Upgraded Guidance Lifts European Chip Stocks as AI Demand Strengthens
ASML
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Key Points

  • ASML raised its full-year sales guidance to 243 billion-245 billion and increased expected gross margin to 54%-56%, both higher than prior ranges.
  • The company guided Q3 sales of 11.5 billion with a 56% gross margin, surpassing Visible Alpha consensus and analysts expectations.
  • AI-driven demand is boosting memory and logic chip investment; ASML expects memory revenue to rise 75% this year and is considering substantial increases in EUV output for 2027 and 2028.

European semiconductor equities advanced Wednesday following a sizable guidance upgrade from ASML Holding, a key supplier of lithography systems used to manufacture advanced logic and memory chips. Shares of ASML jumped sharply in early Amsterdam trade, and other chip-related stocks also posted gains.

By 07:15 GMT ASML shares were up 5.3% in Amsterdam. France-based materials specialist Soitec rose 3.6%, optics and photonics company Jenoptik jumped 5.5%, and BE Semiconductor added 0.8%.

ASML raised its full-year sales forecast to a range of 243 billion to 245 billion, revising up from its prior guidance of 236 billion to 240 billion. The company simultaneously lifted expected gross margin to between 54% and 56%, up from the earlier range of 51% to 53%.

"AI-related investments and continued progress in AI technologies are driving demand for advanced logic and memory chips, further strengthening the semiconductor industrys growth outlook," Chief Executive Christophe Fouquet said.

For the third quarter, ASML guided for sales of 11.5 billion, about 11% higher than the Visible Alpha consensus of 10.37 billion, and projected a gross margin of 56%, ahead of the 52.1% analysts had expected.

Bank of America interpreted ASMLs guidance as pointing to fourth-quarter revenue of 14.41 billion versus a consensus of 11.62 billion, and gross profit of 8.08 billion at a 56% margin, compared with consensus estimates of 6.11 billion and 53%.

Bank of America analysts highlighted that ASML delivered "robust 2Q results driven by stronger Installed Base Management (IBM) sales & margins." The company reported second-quarter sales of 9.33 billion, up from 7.69 billion a year earlier and above the 8.83 billion analysts had forecast, according to Visible Alpha.

Memory and storage chip prices have climbed as AI demand continues to exceed supply, and ASML indicated memory-related revenue is expected to rise 75% this year, underlining the appetite for equipment that produces those chips. Fouquet also said the company was close to securing all the orders it needs for next years extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography systems and is planning to expand capacity to ship additional machines.

EUV systems are ASMLs most advanced machines and are used to print the intricate layers on cutting-edge chips; they are deployed by customers such as Intel for some of their highest-end products. ASML executives are considering roughly a 30% increase in EUV output for 2027, followed by another 30% rise in 2028, noting that customers have already placed large volumes of orders for 2028.


Summary: ASMLs second guidance raise this year and stronger-than-expected quarterly outlook signalled robust demand for chipmaking equipment tied to AI, lifting a range of European semiconductor stocks. The company expects substantial memory revenue growth and is evaluating significant capacity increases for its EUV systems.

Risks

  • Execution and capacity scaling - ASML is planning to expand capacity and is weighing roughly 30% increases in EUV output for 2027 and 2028; successfully implementing these expansions will be required to meet elevated order volumes.
  • Order finalization - while ASML said it was close to securing the orders it needs for next years EUV systems, the degree to which those orders are confirmed could affect shipment and revenue timing.
  • Market sensitivity - semiconductor equipment and memory markets are affected by rapid shifts in AI-related demand and pricing; continued volatility in those markets could influence future revenue and margins.

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