Stock Markets February 16, 2026

Asian Markets Mixed as Japan Slips on Weak GDP While BHP Lifts Australia

Holiday-thinned trading sees Japan extend declines after poor growth data; BHP's strong first-half results lift the ASX 200

By Leila Farooq
Asian Markets Mixed as Japan Slips on Weak GDP While BHP Lifts Australia

Asian equity markets were uneven in a holiday-quiet session, with Japanese benchmarks falling further after disappointing fourth-quarter GDP figures, while Australia’s market found support from a sharp rise in mining heavyweight BHP following robust half-year earnings. Broader regional activity was limited by Lunar New Year closures and a Wall Street holiday, with U.S. futures drifting lower ahead of a slate of U.S. economic releases.

Key Points

  • Japanese indices fell 0.9% as weak fourth-quarter GDP extended losses and raised expectations of further policy support from Tokyo - impacting equities broadly and hitting technology and industrial sectors.
  • Australia’s ASX 200 rose 0.3%, led by BHP Group’s nearly 7% jump to a record high after strong first-half earnings driven by higher copper prices and record iron ore production - supporting materials and mining exposure.
  • Regional trading was muted due to Lunar New Year closures and a recent Wall Street holiday, while S&P 500 futures slipped about 0.4% as investors awaited a slate of U.S. economic data.

Asian stock markets delivered a mixed performance on Tuesday as trading volumes were reduced by regional holidays. Japan’s main indexes extended declines after the latest gross domestic product print disappointed, while Australia’s benchmark advanced, buoyed by significant gains in BHP Group following strong first-half results.

Several major markets including China, Hong Kong, South Korea and Singapore were closed for the Lunar New Year, and a public holiday on Wall Street on Monday left regional traders with fewer overseas cues. S&P 500 futures traded about 0.4% lower during Asian hours, with market attention turning to a series of U.S. economic indicators scheduled for release during the week.


Japan: growth miss weighs, technology under pressure

The Nikkei 225 and TOPIX each fell 0.9% on Tuesday, continuing losses from the previous session after the economy’s fourth-quarter growth came in well below expectations. The weak GDP reading reinforced concerns that late-2025 stimulus measures from Tokyo produced only limited results, and it strengthened the view that Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi may need to introduce further measures to support growth.

Technology names were notably weaker amid renewed selling, in part linked to ongoing worries about the potential impact of artificial intelligence on the sector. SoftBank Group Corp. (TYO:9984) was among the largest decliners on the Nikkei, slipping nearly 5%. Industrial firms also gave back ground, with Kawasaki Heavy Industries, Ltd. (TYO:7012) and Hitachi Ltd (TYO:6501) posting losses.


Australia: BHP drives gains as commodities rally helps results

In Australia, the ASX 200 advanced 0.3%, led by a near 7% jump in BHP Group Ltd (ASX:BHP), which surged to a record high after reporting strong earnings for the first half of its fiscal year. BHP was the principal contributor to the index’s rise, offsetting downturns in other sectors.

The miner’s results benefited from elevated copper prices that rallied late in 2025, and record-high iron ore production that supported top-line performance, according to the company’s results. Those factors underpinned investor enthusiasm and propelled the stock to its session peak.


Regional snapshot and other market movers

Most other Asian bourses were closed for the holiday period. Futures for India’s Nifty 50 edged down about 0.2%, signaling continued pressure on Indian equities driven by sell-offs in large-cap software companies. Major Indian IT names including Infosys Ltd (NSE:INFY) and Tata Consultancy Services Ltd. (NSE:TCS) were cited as being hit by investor concerns that AI agents could erode a substantial portion of their market opportunities.

With trading light across much of the region and U.S. markets closed earlier in the week, market participants appeared cautious, watching upcoming U.S. data for guidance on the broader economic backdrop.


Bottom line

Holiday-reduced liquidity amplified the impact of local developments: weak Japanese GDP extended selling in Tokyo, while a commodity-fueled earnings beat at BHP lifted Australian equities. Broader investor focus remains on imminent U.S. economic releases and on how policymakers may respond to tepid growth readings in Japan.

Risks

  • Soft GDP in Japan increases the likelihood of additional government stimulus, which could create uncertainty for domestic equities and fiscal policy - particularly affecting industrial and consumer-facing sectors.
  • Ongoing investor concern about artificial intelligence’s impact on the technology and software industries could continue to pressure large-cap tech and IT services stocks, including major Indian software exporters.
  • Holiday-thinned markets and limited trading cues raise liquidity risk and may amplify price moves in individual stocks, especially in sectors with concentrated market caps like mining and technology.

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