Stock Markets February 13, 2026

Applied Materials stock surges as AI-driven chip demand lifts equipment outlook

Company projects Q2 revenue and profit ahead of Street estimates as hyperscaler spending and memory tightness underpin orders

By Priya Menon AMAT ASML LRCX KLAC
Applied Materials stock surges as AI-driven chip demand lifts equipment outlook
AMAT ASML LRCX KLAC

Applied Materials reported guidance for the second quarter that topped analyst expectations, prompting an 11.7% premarket jump in its shares. Management attributed the stronger outlook to accelerated industry investment in AI computing and rising demand for higher-performance, energy-efficient chips across logic, high-bandwidth memory and advanced packaging. The forecast also buoyed other chip-equipment names.

Key Points

  • Applied Materials forecast Q2 revenue of about $7.65 billion, plus or minus $500 million, above the $7.01 billion analysts average estimate (LSEG data).
  • The company projected adjusted profit of $2.64 per share versus analyst estimates of $2.28, attributing strength to accelerating AI-related investment and demand for higher-performance, energy-efficient chips.
  • The stronger outlook lifted other chip-equipment stocks including ASML, Lam Research and KLA, and contributed to Applied Materials year-to-date share gain of about 28% versus a 14% rise in the Philadelphia Semiconductor index.

Applied Materials saw a sharp premarket gain after releasing second-quarter guidance that exceeded Wall Street forecasts, a sign investors are pricing continued momentum from AI-related chip demand and tightening memory markets.

Shares of the Santa Clara, California-based company climbed 11.7% in premarket trading on Friday. The rise followed the companys projection for roughly $7.65 billion in revenue for the second quarter, plus or minus $500 million, a range that sits above analysts consensus estimate of $7.01 billion based on LSEG data. Applied Materials also forecast adjusted earnings of $2.64 per share for the quarter versus analyst estimates of $2.28.

Management linked the stronger quarter to accelerating industry investments in AI computing. CEO Gary Dickerson said the quarter was "fueled by the acceleration of industry investments in AI computing," adding that AI workloads were driving demand for higher-performance, more energy efficient chips across leading-edge logic, high-bandwidth memory and advanced packaging.

Analysts and industry metrics cited by the company point to a broader pattern: rapid expansion of AI data centers by hyperscalers and growing need for high-bandwidth memory are tightening chip supply chains and prompting additional spending on wafer-fab and packaging equipment. That dynamic is central to Applied Materials positioning as the largest U.S. semiconductor equipment maker, with exposure across DRAM/HBM, advanced logic and packaging segments.

Industry forecasts included by market observers in the companys narrative note projections that equipment sales used to make chip wafers will rise, with an industry groups December forecast calling for about a 9% increase to $126 billion in 2026 and a further 7.3% gain to $135 billion in 2027.

The upbeat outlook from Applied Materials also lifted sentiment for peers. Shares of ASML, the worlds largest supplier of chip equipment, rose 1.8%. U.S. competitors Lam Research and KLA also advanced, with Lam Research climbing 2% and KLA gaining more than 1% in thin trading volumes.

Applied Materials stock has outpaced broader semiconductor sector gains so far this year, rising about 28% year-to-date compared with a 14% gain for the Philadelphia Semiconductor index.


Market context and implications

Applied Materials guidance and executive commentary underscore how AI workload requirements - higher performance and greater energy efficiency - are shaping capital spending by chipmakers and hyperscalers. That investment pattern is supporting demand for equipment across memory, logic and packaging, which in turn influences order books for major equipment suppliers.


Quotes referenced

"Fueled by the acceleration of industry investments in AI computing," - Applied Materials CEO Gary Dickerson
"AMAT has a leadership position in DRAM/HBM, Advanced Logic, and Packaging and is benefiting from strong GenAI-driven spending," - RBC analysts

Risks

  • Demand concentration - The companys outlook is tied to continued AI-driven investment and memory market tightness; a slowdown in hyperscaler spending or easing memory tightness could reduce equipment orders, affecting semiconductor equipment makers and related capital goods sectors.
  • Macroeconomic and market sensitivity - Equipment spending cycles and order books for wafer-fab and packaging tools can be volatile, creating uncertainty for capital-intensive suppliers and their customers in semiconductor manufacturing.
  • Trading liquidity - Some peer moves were recorded in thin volumes, which can lead to greater price volatility and less reliable intraday price signals for investors in chip-equipment stocks and semiconductor indexes.

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