Stock Markets February 26, 2026

Adesso posts stronger-than-expected Q4 EBITDA, lays out 2026 sales and profit targets

Quarterly margin expands as full-year results top guidance range; management issues 2026 revenue and EBITDA corridor and proposes a slightly higher dividend

By Jordan Park
Adesso posts stronger-than-expected Q4 EBITDA, lays out 2026 sales and profit targets

Adesso SE reported preliminary fourth-quarter 2025 results with sales of €381.7 million and EBITDA of €45.6 million, reflecting an 11% year-on-year increase in revenue and a 44% jump in EBITDA. While quarterly revenue slightly missed FactSet consensus, EBITDA materially beat expectations and the company recorded a full-year revenue of roughly €1.47 billion and EBITDA of €123.6 million. Management issued 2026 guidance for sales between €1.6 billion and €1.7 billion and EBITDA of €130 million to €150 million, and proposed a raised dividend of €0.78 per share for 2025.

Key Points

  • Q4 2025 sales were €381.7 million, an 11% year-over-year increase; Q4 EBITDA was €45.6 million, up 44% with an EBITDA margin of 11.9%.
  • Full-year 2025 revenue was approximately €1.47 billion (13% organic growth) and EBITDA rose 26% to €123.6 million, with EBITDA in the upper end of guidance.
  • 2026 guidance targets sales of €1.6 billion to €1.7 billion and EBITDA of €130 million to €150 million; company proposes a 2025 dividend of €0.78 per share.

Adesso SE reported preliminary results for the fourth quarter of 2025 showing quarterly sales of €381.7 million, up 11% from the same period a year earlier, and EBITDA of €45.6 million, a rise of 44% year-over-year. The company said the fourth-quarter EBITDA margin came in at 11.9%.

On a consensus-comparison basis, the revenue figure was 1% below FactSet expectations, while EBITDA outperformed street estimates by 19%. Management noted that additional license income from its insurance product business - described as being in the high single-digit million-euro range - contributed positively to the quarter.

For the full year 2025, Adesso recorded revenue of approximately €1.47 billion, equivalent to 13% organic growth compared with €1.30 billion in 2024. Full-year EBITDA rose by 26% to €123.6 million from €98.3 million the prior year. The company said revenue slightly exceeded its internal forecast and that reported EBITDA landed in the upper end of its guidance range for the year.

Adesso highlighted the seasonal distribution of 2025 earnings, with EBITDA skewed toward the second half. The company reported second-half EBITDA of €86.4 million compared with €70.7 million a year earlier, while first-half EBITDA was €37.2 million. Management attributed part of the half-year weighting to the calendar pattern of working days.

Looking to 2026, Adesso issued guidance calling for sales of between €1.6 billion and €1.7 billion and EBITDA in a range of €130 million to €150 million. The midpoint of that EBITDA range implies an adjusted margin of roughly 8.5%. By comparison, consensus forecasts anticipate sales of €1.6 billion and EBITDA of €142 million; that consensus EBITDA figure sits about 1% above the midpoint of the companys EBITDA guidance.

The board intends to continue the dividend policy applied in recent years and proposes raising the 2025 payout to €0.78 per share, up from €0.75 in the prior year.


Context and implications

The quarter combined modest revenue growth with a substantial improvement in profitability, driven in part by licensing income from the insurance product business. Full-year results showed organic top-line expansion and an EBITDA outcome at the upper end of guidance, while managements 2026 outlook defines both a revenue corridor and a profitability band that market consensus roughly aligns with, particularly on the sales midpoint.

Risks

  • Quarterly revenue missed FactSet consensus by 1%, indicating potential volatility in top-line execution - this affects corporate earnings and investor sentiment.
  • Market consensus expects EBITDA slightly above the midpoint of Adessos 2026 guidance, introducing a risk that results could fall short of market expectations - relevant to equity valuations.
  • EBITDA was materially weighted toward the second half in 2025 due in part to the calendar pattern of working days, creating timing-related comparability risks between periods - this can affect quarterly reporting across service-oriented businesses.

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