Stock Markets March 17, 2026

Academy Sports Posts Q4 Miss as Comparable Sales Slide

Adjusted EPS and revenue fall short of estimates; company issues modest fiscal 2026 guidance and raises dividend

By Nina Shah ASO
Academy Sports Posts Q4 Miss as Comparable Sales Slide
ASO

Academy Sports and Outdoors reported fourth-quarter results that missed analyst estimates on both adjusted earnings per share and revenue, citing a continued decline in comparable store sales. The retail chain delivered adjusted EPS of $1.97 versus a $2.05 consensus, and revenue of $1.72 billion against expectations of $1.75 billion. Management issued fiscal 2026 guidance for modest sales and earnings growth and approved a 15% increase to the quarterly dividend.

Key Points

  • Academy reported adjusted EPS of $1.97 for Q4 versus a $2.05 consensus and revenue of $1.72 billion versus $1.75 billion expected.
  • Comparable store sales declined 1.6% in the quarter, an improvement from a 3.0% decline a year earlier; full-year net sales for fiscal 2025 were $6.05 billion, up 2.0% year-over-year.
  • Fiscal 2026 guidance projects net sales of $6.18 billion to $6.36 billion (2.0% to 5.0% growth) and adjusted EPS of $6.10 to $6.60; the board raised the quarterly dividend by 15% to $0.15 per share.

Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc. (NASDAQ:ASO) released fourth-quarter results for the period ended January 31, 2026, that came in below Wall Street expectations, with both adjusted earnings per share and top-line revenue missing analyst projections. The sporting goods retailer reported adjusted EPS of $1.97, compared with a consensus estimate of $2.05.

Revenue for the quarter totaled $1.72 billion, shy of the $1.75 billion forecast, although it represented a 2.5% increase from $1.68 billion a year earlier. Comparable store sales declined 1.6% during the quarter, an improvement from a 3.0% comparable decline in the same period a year ago. Shares of the company fell 5.3% following the publication of the results.

Management commentary

Steve Lawrence, Chief Executive Officer, framed the year as a turning point for the business. "This past year marked an inflection point for Academy as we continued to gain market share and moved back to topline growth," he said. "While we believe many of the macro-economic pressures that the customer faced in the back half of the year will continue into 2026, we are optimistic the strategies we have in place should enable us to return to consistent comp sales growth."

Full fiscal year results and outlook

For the full fiscal year 2025, Academy reported net sales of $6.05 billion, up 2.0% year-over-year, while adjusted EPS totaled $5.78, down 4.0% from the prior year. Looking ahead, the company provided guidance for fiscal 2026, projecting net sales in a range of $6.18 billion to $6.36 billion, which represents growth of 2.0% to 5.0%. The midpoint of that range - $6.27 billion - implies 3.5% growth versus fiscal 2025.

On profitability, Academy expects adjusted EPS for fiscal 2026 to fall between $6.10 and $6.60. The midpoint of $6.35 corresponds to 9.9% growth over the company’s adjusted EPS for fiscal 2025.

Capital returns

The company’s board approved a 15% increase to the quarterly dividend, raising it to $0.15 per share.


Implications for markets and sector

The miss in the quarter and the modest guidance highlight ongoing demand pressures in the consumer discretionary and specialty retail segments, particularly among sporting goods retailers. Investors reacted negatively in the near term, as reflected in the stock's decline immediately after the results were released.

Risks

  • Persisting macro-economic pressures on consumer spending could continue to weigh on comparable store sales and revenue growth - this affects the consumer discretionary and retail sectors.
  • Near-term investor sentiment may remain pressure-sensitive given the recent quarterly miss and the stock’s immediate 5.3% decline following results - this impacts equity market volatility for retail stocks.
  • Guidance is modest and depends on an improvement in comp sales; failure to regain consistent comparable sales growth would put additional strain on margin expansion and shareholder returns.

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