Economy February 24, 2026

Workday Predicts 2027 Subscription Revenue Below Estimates, Citing Slower New Client Growth

Enterprise software vendor's fiscal 2027 subscription forecast misses Street expectations as macro uncertainty and AI-driven market shifts weigh on demand

By Maya Rios
Workday Predicts 2027 Subscription Revenue Below Estimates, Citing Slower New Client Growth

Workday projected fiscal 2027 annual subscription revenue below analyst forecasts, signaling weaker new client acquisition as companies trim technology budgets amid economic uncertainty and higher interest rates. The company's quarterly results showed total revenue slightly above estimates and subscription revenue in line with expectations, while its shares dropped in extended trading. A separate product release by AI lab Anthropic contributed to a broad selloff in software and services stocks, amplifying investor concern about AI-driven revenue disruption.

Key Points

  • Workday forecast fiscal 2027 annual subscription revenue of $9.93 billion to $9.95 billion, below LSEG analyst expectations of $10.00 billion.
  • Total revenue for the quarter ended January 31 was $2.53 billion, versus analyst estimates of $2.52 billion; fourth-quarter subscription revenue was $2.36 billion, in line with expectations.
  • Anthropic's release of a legal plug-in and 10 new business integrations triggered an $830 billion global selloff in software and services stocks, heightening investor concern about AI-driven revenue disruption.

Workday on Tuesday issued a fiscal 2027 subscription revenue forecast that came in under Wall Street expectations, a development the company tied to slowing wins of new customers as corporate technology spending tightens in response to an uncertain economic outlook. In extended trading, Workday's shares fell 7% following the guidance.

The Pleasanton, California-based enterprise software firm pointed to a challenging macroeconomic backdrop, noting that higher interest rates and broader economic uncertainty have led many businesses to scrutinize large software purchases and postpone purchasing decisions. That dynamic has weighed on the company's ability to secure new client contracts, according to the guidance.

Workday's forecast for annual subscription revenue ranged from $9.93 billion to $9.95 billion, below analyst estimates of $10.00 billion compiled by LSEG. For the quarter ended January 31, the company reported total revenue of $2.53 billion, slightly above analysts' projections of $2.52 billion. Subscription revenue for the fourth quarter was $2.36 billion, which matched expectations.

Separately, market reaction was compounded by developments in the artificial intelligence space. Anthropic, an AI lab, released a legal plug-in and unveiled 10 new integration options aimed at business customers, including tools to assist human resources functions - such as adapting new-hire materials to a company's tone and policies - and investment banking tasks like deal review. That announcement sparked an $830 billion global selloff across software and services stocks, including shares of some companies that partner with the startup, as investors worried about potential revenue pressure from AI-powered automation.

The combination of Workday's below-consensus subscription outlook and the wider market's unease over AI integrations contributed to the downward move in software and services valuations. While Workday reported quarterly subscription revenue in line with expectations and total revenue slightly above estimates, its guidance for fiscal 2027 highlighted a near-term slowdown in new client momentum driven by constrained corporate technology budgets.

Risks

  • Economic uncertainty and higher interest rates leading corporations to delay or reduce large software purchases - this affects enterprise software vendors and technology suppliers.
  • Investor concern that AI-powered automation could undermine revenue streams for software and services companies, as evidenced by the market reaction to Anthropic's product release - this impacts the software and services sector.
  • Slower new client wins for Workday, driven by tightened corporate tech spending, which could weigh on future subscription growth - this poses risks to Workday's revenue trajectory and enterprise software peers.

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