Economy March 8, 2026

UK Hiring Indicators Show Signs of Stabilising as Pay Pressure Eases

Recruitment survey finds slowest fall in starting salaries since October and the strongest hiring signal in nearly three years, though metrics remain slightly in contraction

By Marcus Reed
UK Hiring Indicators Show Signs of Stabilising as Pay Pressure Eases

A monthly recruitment survey covering around 400 UK agencies recorded the slowest decline in starting pay for permanent roles since October and an uptick in permanent staff placements to their highest level in almost three years, while temporary hiring and some other gauges remain below the expansion threshold.

Key Points

  • Permanent staff placements gauge rose to 49.2 in February from 46.9 in January, its highest level in nearly three years but still below the 50 expansion threshold.
  • Starting salaries for permanent staff declined last month at the slowest pace since October, indicating easing pay pressure for permanent hires.
  • Temporary staff hiring returned to contraction, with the index falling to 48.0 from 50.3, while candidate availability for permanent roles rose sharply.

LONDON, March 9 - A monthly snapshot of Britain’s recruitment market pointed to a softening of the recent jobs downturn, with starting salaries for permanent positions falling at the slowest rate since October and the measure of permanent placements rising to its highest reading in nearly three years.

The Recruitment and Employment Confederation (REC) and accountancy firm KPMG said their gauge of permanent staff placements increased to 49.2 in February from 46.9 in January. Although that represents an improvement, the reading remains just below the 50 mark that separates contraction from expansion.

"Despite a marginal fall in hiring last month, the jobs market was showing its strongest signs of improvement in three years, with hiring at its closest point to turning positive," Jon Holt, group chief executive and UK senior partner at KPMG, said.

Other elements of the survey presented a mixed picture:

  • The temporary staff hiring index declined to 48.0 from 50.3 in January, indicating a return to contraction for temp roles.
  • The availability of candidates for permanent positions rose sharply, suggesting more workers are open to or seeking permanent employment.
  • Availability of temporary staff increased at the softest pace seen in more than a year, signaling reduced growth in the temp labour supply.

The survey drew on responses from a panel of roughly 400 recruitment agencies between February 10 and February 23. Taken together, the results indicate the labour market is nearer to stabilising - with hiring measures approaching the expansion threshold - but not yet consistently in growth territory.

While the uptick in the permanent placements gauge and the slower pace of decline in starting salaries point to easing pay pressure for permanent hires, the fall in the temporary hiring index highlights ongoing weakness in demand for short-term staffing. The divergent signals from permanent and temporary segments underline continuing unevenness across the jobs market.

Survey authors cautioned that, despite improvements, most headline gauges remain marginally in contraction, meaning the labour market is showing signs of improvement rather than a clear, sustained upturn.


Data note: The figures reported above are from the REC and KPMG monthly survey of recruitment agencies covering the February 10-23 response window.

Risks

  • Despite improvements, headline hiring measures remain slightly in contraction territory, meaning the jobs market could slip back rather than move into sustained expansion - impacting employers across sectors that rely on steady hiring.
  • Weakness in temporary staff hiring suggests ongoing softness in short-term labour demand, which could affect sectors that rely heavily on temp labour such as retail and logistics.
  • The survey covers responses from around 400 recruitment agencies between February 10 and February 23; limited sample timing means later developments in hiring and pay could reverse the observed trends.

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