Economy February 13, 2026

Supreme Court Sets Feb. 20 Opinion Day in High-Stakes Tariff Case

Justices will reconvene later in February as importers and markets await a ruling that could undo broad Trump-era levies

By Nina Shah
Supreme Court Sets Feb. 20 Opinion Day in High-Stakes Tariff Case

The U.S. Supreme Court has scheduled February 20 as an opinion day that will likely include a decision on President Trump's tariff policies. Additional opinion sessions are scheduled for February 24 and 25. The case, heard on an expedited timeline, could invalidate major tariffs that federal data show are costing importers more than $16 billion each month.

Key Points

  • The Supreme Court scheduled opinion days on February 20, 24 and 25 as it returns from a four-week recess.
  • The case challenges Trump-era tariffs, including the April 2 'Liberation Day' levies of 10-50% and duties tied to Canada, Mexico and China; federal data show these tariffs are costing importers more than $16 billion per month.
  • Arguments were heard on an expedited schedule on November 5, raising expectations among some observers of a quicker-than-usual ruling that markets are watching closely.

The U.S. Supreme Court has designated February 20 as an upcoming opinion day, with further sessions set for February 24 and 25, according to the court's calendar. Market participants and importers are closely watching the docket because one of the pending opinions could address the legality of key tariffs imposed under the Trump administration.

The tariff dispute is one of 12 cases that were argued in October or November and remain undecided as the court returns from a four-week recess. Federal government figures cited in the case record indicate the contested levies are imposing costs on importers exceeding $16 billion each month.

The litigation centers on President Trump's April 2 "Liberation Day" tariffs, which applied duties ranging from 10% to 50% on a wide swath of imports. The Supreme Court's review also encompasses separate duties directed at shipments from Canada, Mexico and China that were imposed with the stated purpose of addressing fentanyl trafficking.

A ruling that disfavors the administration would constitute President Trump's most consequential legal reversal since his return to the White House, according to statements referenced in court filings. The White House has signaled readiness to move quickly to replace any tariffs the court invalidates by using alternative legal mechanisms, though President Trump has acknowledged those substitutes would be more cumbersome to implement.

Justices heard oral arguments on November 5 on an expedited schedule, prompting some observers to expect a faster resolution than the Supreme Court's typical months-long deliberation period. The compressed timeline had suggested a decision might appear within weeks after argument rather than the usual extended interval.

As the court prepares to issue opinions on the scheduled dates in February, importers and market participants remain attentive to both the legal outcome and the administration's stated contingency plans for restoring trade measures should the court strike them down.

Risks

  • A decision invalidating the tariffs would represent a significant legal setback for the administration, creating uncertainty for importers and market participants.
  • If tariffs are struck down, the White House's plan to replace them through alternative legal mechanisms could be slower and more cumbersome to implement, prolonging uncertainty for affected parties.
  • Timing remains uncertain despite the expedited hearing; while some expected a faster ruling, the court's ultimate schedule and timing of opinions are not guaranteed.

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