Economy February 22, 2026

Indonesia posts 54.6 trillion rupiah January deficit as revenues rise and spending climbs

Finance ministry data shows deficit equal to 0.21% of GDP as revenue growth is offset by higher outlays

By Nina Shah
Indonesia posts 54.6 trillion rupiah January deficit as revenues rise and spending climbs

Indonesia recorded a 54.6 trillion rupiah budget shortfall in January, equivalent to 0.21% of GDP, as a 20.5% rise in revenues was outpaced by a 25.7% increase in spending, the finance ministry said on Monday. Investors have been monitoring the government's fiscal stance after early-2026 market volatility linked to concerns over fiscal health, central bank independence and stock exchange transparency.

Key Points

  • January budget deficit was 54.6 trillion rupiah, equal to 0.21% of GDP.
  • Revenues rose 20.5% year-on-year to 172.7 trillion rupiah, helped by reduced tax refunds.
  • Spending increased 25.7% year-on-year to 227.3 trillion rupiah, outpacing revenue growth.

Indonesia logged a budget deficit of 54.6 trillion rupiah in January, the finance ministry reported on Monday, representing 0.21% of the country's gross domestic product. The ministry attributed the gap to a combination of stronger revenues and even larger increases in government spending.

Revenue and expenditure details

Tax and other receipts for the month totaled 172.7 trillion rupiah, a 20.5% increase from the same month a year earlier. The ministry noted that lower tax refunds contributed to the rise in revenues and that these figures align with data released earlier this year.

On the spending side, outlays climbed 25.7% year-on-year to 227.3 trillion rupiah. That increase outstripped revenue growth and produced the 54.6 trillion rupiah deficit in January.

Market context and investor focus

Investors are closely watching the government's fiscal trajectory following a rocky start to 2026 in Indonesia's financial markets. That volatility was prompted by concerns cited by market participants about the country's fiscal health, the independence of its central bank and the transparency of its stock exchange.

Officials typically record a budget surplus in the early months of the year when tax collections tend to be stronger and when some significant expenditures - including subsidy payments - are scheduled later in the year. The January deficit therefore contrasts with the usual seasonal pattern but reflects the reported timing of revenues and spending.

Earlier revenue weakness and administrative issues

The ministry's statement recalled that in the prior year, early-month revenues were weak for several months. That weakness was in part linked to a problematic rollout of a major upgrade to the tax office's core system, which affected collections.

Exchange rate note

The finance ministry's release included the exchange-rate reference of 1 US dollar equaling 16,795 rupiah.


This report presents the ministry's data as released; it does not offer forecasts or assessments beyond the information provided by the ministry.

Risks

  • Market sensitivity to concerns about Indonesia's fiscal health - impacts sovereign bond markets and government funding costs.
  • Questions around central bank independence - potential implications for monetary policy credibility and financial sector confidence.
  • Transparency issues at the stock exchange - possible effects on equity market stability and investor sentiment.

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