Economy February 11, 2026

BLS Cuts 862,000 Jobs From 12-Month Total Through March 2025 in Payroll Benchmark Revision

Final nonfarm payrolls benchmark revision reduces reported 2025 job gains and lowers seasonally adjusted employment for the year

By Sofia Navarro
BLS Cuts 862,000 Jobs From 12-Month Total Through March 2025 in Payroll Benchmark Revision

The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reduced its estimate of jobs created in the 12 months through March 2025 by 862,000, revising down the seasonally adjusted change in total nonfarm employment for 2025 to 181,000 from 584,000. The benchmark revision, based on updated Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages data for the first quarter, was smaller than the 911,000 reduction the agency projected in August and fell within economists' expected range.

Key Points

  • The BLS final benchmark revision reduced reported job creation by 862,000 for the 12 months through March 2025.
  • The revision was smaller than the 911,000-job reduction estimated in August and fell within economists' expected range of 750,000 to 900,000.
  • Total nonfarm employment for 2025 was revised down to a seasonally adjusted increase of 181,000 from the previously reported 584,000, and the headline benchmark figures are not seasonally adjusted.

The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics on Wednesday reported a downward revision of 862,000 jobs for the 12 months ending in March 2025, reducing the measured pace of employment growth over that period. The agency said the adjustment was the result of its final nonfarm payrolls benchmark revision.

The benchmark cut is smaller than the 911,000-job reduction the BLS had signaled in August. The revisions reflect updated data from the Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages for the first quarter, which the BLS used as the basis for the final benchmark update. The numbers cited by the agency in its release are not seasonally adjusted.

Economists had anticipated a reduction in the reported level of employment for the 12-month span of between 750,000 and 900,000 jobs after the updated QCEW data were incorporated into the payrolls benchmark. The BLS's final revision falls within that range, aligning with market expectations documented prior to the announcement.

As a result of the benchmark update, the change in total nonfarm employment for 2025 was revised down to a seasonally adjusted gain of 181,000 jobs, from the previously reported increase of 584,000. That downward adjustment reduces the headline measure of job creation for the year once seasonal factors are applied.

The BLS statement highlights the mechanics of its benchmarking process: periodic incorporation of QCEW data to align its payroll sample with comprehensive employment and wage records. The final revision released Wednesday is the culmination of that process for the period in question.

Observers of labor market data and market participants will note the change in the reported pace of job growth, while analysts continue to assess the implications of benchmark adjustments on broader economic readings. The BLS release emphasized the distinction between the not-seasonally-adjusted revisions and the seasonally adjusted totals presented for the calendar year.


Context and limitations

The BLS benchmark changes are driven by updated QCEW inputs for the first quarter, and the agency provided final figures showing a smaller cut than the provisional August estimate. The benchmarks are part of an established process and reflect revisions to previously published payroll estimates rather than new, contemporaneous survey results.

Risks

  • Measurement uncertainty - benchmark revisions based on updated QCEW data can materially change previously published employment totals, complicating comparisons across reporting periods.
  • Market interpretation - revisions to employment figures may prompt reassessment by market participants and analysts, particularly for interest-rate sensitive sectors such as real estate and financial services.
  • Seasonal adjustment differences - distinctions between not-seasonally-adjusted benchmark revisions and seasonally adjusted annual totals can lead to confusion in interpreting the strength of job growth.

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